Do we really have a balance sheet recession? David Beckworth.
The age of de-leveraging. Jason Leach.
How I learnt to stop worrying and love The Bank. Steve Keen.
How will they prop up stocks after QE? An answer? Bruce Krasting.
The Fed can’t go bankrupt. Anymore. FT Alphaville.
More evidence of undercapitalization/insolvency of major banks. Yves Smith.
National debt = great recession 2.0. Dian Chu.
Spain's bank nationalization and the euro zone crisis. Ed Harrison.
The real cost of Chinese NPLs. Michael Pettis.
China vs. inflation: a love-30 match so far. Dian Chu.
China's runaway chariot. Charles Smith.
SocGen crafts strategy for China hard-landing. Ambrose Evans-Pritchard.
Record Food Prices Causing Africa Riots Stoking U.S. Farm Economy. Bloomberg.
Inflation: not here, not now. John Taylor.
other fare:
of amusement: Gartman investment SAT score 410.
The age of de-leveraging. Jason Leach.
How I learnt to stop worrying and love The Bank. Steve Keen.
How will they prop up stocks after QE? An answer? Bruce Krasting.
The Fed can’t go bankrupt. Anymore. FT Alphaville.
More evidence of undercapitalization/insolvency of major banks. Yves Smith.
National debt = great recession 2.0. Dian Chu.
Spain's bank nationalization and the euro zone crisis. Ed Harrison.
The real cost of Chinese NPLs. Michael Pettis.
China vs. inflation: a love-30 match so far. Dian Chu.
Beijing most likely will come to grip very soon that eventually somebody got to pay somewhere, and there’s just no way around it, and that the time has come for some decisive actions with a combination of more aggressive monetary, fiscal and regulatory measures to show it really means business.
For example, instead of the symbolic two 25-bps interest rate hikes in Oct. and Dec., Beijing probably will do an immediate 50-bps rate hike by early February and another 50 bps in early March to blunt the start of the typical yearly run-up of crude oil, and other commodities. Then, depending on the market reaction and new economic data, more hikes could be implemented later on in the year. Fiscal policies such as taxes, and financial regulations and restrictions on speculative activities could be necessary.
Meanwhile, the expectation of a Yuan appreciation is keeping liquidity swimming. So, perhaps China would do just the opposite, as suggested by Andy Xie, a currency depreciation, which would lead to a capital outflow forcing interest rates up. There [are]many more things that China has to do to get the inflation situation under control, which most likely will send shock waves throughout global markets.
Social Unrest Could Make or Break A Party: Nmbers may be rigged or "smoothed out", but can't fool the regular Chinese Joe's and the smart money.
China's runaway chariot. Charles Smith.
SocGen crafts strategy for China hard-landing. Ambrose Evans-Pritchard.
Record Food Prices Causing Africa Riots Stoking U.S. Farm Economy. Bloomberg.
Inflation: not here, not now. John Taylor.
other fare:
of amusement: Gartman investment SAT score 410.
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