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Monday, October 5, 2020

2020-10-05

COVID-19 notes:


Alarming Data Show a Third Wave of COVID-19 Is About to Hit the U.S.

In mid-June (top) there were indications that COVID-19 might be entering a second wave as the national trend ticked back upward.

In fact, the second wave peaked at twice that of the first. Now we're seeing a similar alarming uptick in cases that may foretell a third surge. 



Vitamin D sufficiency, a serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D at least 30 ng/mL reduced risk for adverse clinical outcomes in patients with COVID-19

Conclusion: Therefore, it is recommended that improving vitamin D status in the general population and in particular hospitalized patients has a potential benefit in reducing the severity of morbidities and mortality associated with acquiring COVID-19.

 

 

Regular Related Fare:

Final Q2 GDP Revision Shows US Economy Shrank -31.4%




ADP Employment Beats Expectations


Who’s Negative? The Marginal American Worker


Rosie: Only 48% of the slide in FT employment has been recouped — there are 9.3M fewer FT jobs in the economy today than at the turn of the year. That is a -9.3% annualized decline — the worst this trend got in the 08/09 Recession was -7.7% and in the 2001 Tech Wreck it was -2.6%.

 

Job cuts: The coronavirus outbreak has triggered unprecedented mass layoffs and furloughs. Here are the major companies that have announced they are downsizing their workforces. Incl: Disney To Lay Off 28,000 Employees; Marathon Petroleum begins widespread job cuts; Shell to cut up to 9,000 jobs; Brookfield Properties’ retail arm is laying off 20% of its workforce


"Tremendously Low" Rates Send Pending Home Sales Soaring To Record Highs


 


Regular Fare:

Rising Interest Rates Is A Good Thing For Governments

The only plausible scenarios where Canadian interest rates are rising involve wage growth being sufficiently strong to absorb the drain of increased household debt service. Although this might make hard money aficionados unhappy, this means that the Canadian economy has avoided being crushed by mortgage debt. The central bank will have escaped the gravitational pull of the zero bound.

The alternative is the status quo:  low income growth co-existing with big balance sheets and near-zero interest rates.

 

QNOMICS Interview Series — Danielle DiMartino Booth with David Rosenberg

 

Changes in U.S. Family Finances from 2016 to 2019: Evidence from the Survey of Consumer Finances. Federal Reserve Bulletin.

Millionaires and billionaires hold 79.2 percent of the United States’ household wealth.

 


(not just) for the ESG crowd:

Providing decent living with minimum energy: A global scenario

It is increasingly clear that averting ecological breakdown will require drastic changes to contemporary human society and the global economy embedded within it. On the other hand, the basic material needs of billions of people across the planet remain unmet. Here, we develop a simple, bottom-up model to estimate a practical minimal threshold for the final energy consumption required to provide decent material livings to the entire global population. We find that global final energy consumption in 2050 could be reduced to the levels of the 1960s, despite a population three times larger. However, such a world requires a massive rollout of advanced technologies across all sectors, as well as radical demand-side changes to reduce consumption – regardless of income – to levels of sufficiency. Sufficiency is, however, far more materially generous in our model than what those opposed to strong reductions in consumption often assume.

 

The Arctic hasn't been this warm for 3 million years–and that foreshadows big changes for the rest of the planet

 

Understanding and Responding to Global Health Security Risks from Microbial Threats in the Arctic

 

The Trouble with Carbon Pricing

Carbon pricing has dominated conversations around climate policy for decades, but it is ineffective. Only a bold approach that centers politics can meet the problem at its scale.

 

monthly update of global temperature




Other Fare:

Despite Exhaustion, the Upside of Zoom

 

Quote of the Week:

“We're coming up to the end of one program without these new programs even being programs yet.”

From: End of CERB means uncertainty for some, new system for others.

 

Tweet of the Week:

local shops in Thailand. In 2 seconds scans my temperature and to see if wearing mask. Doors don’t open if not.



EXTRA FARE:

 

Post (Infantile) Debate Fare:

So, surprise, surprise: the debate was a circus, a joke, a travesty, take your pick.

Kunstler called it A Ghastly Spectacle;

Doctorow weighed in with his views;

Aikin and Talisse say Trump won the debate Big

by being "a disruptor, one to whom the rules do not apply. He was consistently and manifestly on-brand"

Johnstone said that Russia Could Never Discredit The US Empire The Way These Guys Just Did, also correctly asserting that:

“The uglier a face that appears on this murderous empire, the better it will be for everybody. In a government that is intrinsically evil and destructive from root to flower, an attractive face with competent management is the last thing anyone should want.”

But John Whitehead said it best: The Election Has Already Been Hijacked and the Winner Decided: 'We the People' Lose

“Most of all, voters want to buy into the fantasy that when they elect a president, they’re getting someone who truly represents the citizenry rather than the Deep State.

The sad truth is that it doesn’t matter who wins the White House, because they all work for the same boss: Corporate America. Understanding this, many corporations hedge their bets on who will win the White House by splitting their donations between Democratic and Republican candidates.

Politics is a game, a joke, a hustle, a con, a distraction, a spectacle, a sport, and for many devout Americans, a religion. It is a political illusion aimed at persuading the citizenry that we are free, that our vote counts, and that we actually have some control over the government when in fact, we are prisoners of a Corporate Elite.

In other words, it’s a sophisticated ruse aimed at keeping us divided and fighting over two parties whose priorities, more often than not, are exactly the same so that we don’t join forces and do what the Declaration of Independence suggests, which is to throw the whole lot out and start over.

 

Socio-political Fare:

The Saker says The world has gone absolutely insane!

Odds and ends from Ed Curtin: The Powerful and Obnoxious Odor of Mendacity

John Pilger: Eyewitness to the Agony of Julian Assange.

"The sheer bias in the courts I have sat in this year and last year, with Julian in the dock, blight any notion of British justice."


 

Quote of the Week:

Johnstone: “A Biden win will actually make my job easier. I see the Democratic Party as the main obstacle to real change in the world’s most powerful and destructive government, so it will be much easier to cleanly attack once it’s in a position of power and still advancing oligarchy and imperialism.

The mass delusion that America’s major problems are caused by Trump is a huge propaganda win for the empire. Without that cover they’ll be forced to expose themselves a lot more, and they’ll be doing it with former Trumpers actually drawing attention to it instead of ignoring it.”

 

Satirical Fare:

Trump downplays impending arrival of Galactus, Devourer of Worlds.


Pics of the Week:



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