Regular Fare:
Could A Growth
Setback Be The Surprise Scenario For US Markets?
When one type of macro
financial risk occupies the attention of investors, it does leave them at the
mercy of being blindsided by something else.
A stubbornly higher pace of
inflation and much higher interest rates are widely seen as a likely legacy of
the enormous stimulus by central banks and governments in response to the
pandemic. But what if the outcome turns out to be a less discussed and very
undesirable scenario — a less impressive recovery once pandemic stimulus fades
that leaves a burden of debt hanging like a deadweight on the economy?
One of the odd things about
our emergence from the pandemic and the sudden prospect before us of a robust
economy is that the more conventional analysts are all bleating about inflation. Something terrible is about to happen, they
argue, unless we correct for all that money sloshing about as a consequence of
governments trying to bail out their respective economies. The ghosts of the 1970s are everywhere. Strange things are afoot. Are massive purchases of government debts by
central banks properly called monetary policy?
Or are they a sort of fiscal policy?
Are we in an era of well-anchored inflation expectations? Or are we adrift about to take on water? And the difference between forecast- and
outcome-based policy setting is keeping some analysts awake at night
What if everyone
is wrong about US inflation’s impact on interest rates?
I have never seen a stronger
consensus around a macroeconomic topic in my +30-year career in finance. Fed
money printing plus fiscal stimulus/debt issuance plus economic reopening is
supposed to equal high and likely lasting inflation. The 10-year Treasury will
go to at least 2 percent and maybe 3 percent or higher. And you can’t swing the
proverbial dead cat without hitting even direr warnings …
But to paraphrase a bit of
Yiddish wisdom: man plans, and markets laugh. The 2021 YTD high for 10-year
Treasury yields was on March 19th, at 1.74 percent. Those broke 1.5 pct
intraday today. And it is not just Treasuries turning their back on the global inflation
narrative: …
… Takeaway: predicting
inflation and calling bond yields are 2 different things. History shows
Treasuries wave away short-term inflation and rely on longer-run trends. The
last decade saw very low measured inflation, and that – not current day
inflation – is what this market cares about most.
Forward-Looking
Markets Should Not React To Lagging Data
I ran into an amusing
article by a certain mainstream economist, but I have used up my quota for
dunking on him in Q2, so I will just make a more generic point related to an
underlying issue that often comes up in discussions of the bond market by
people who are not fixed income strategists. The argument is straightforward:
the “common sense” belief that a jump in measured inflation will cause a rise
in bond yields is incorrect. The reason is straightforward: the bond markets
are forward-looking, while measured inflation is a backwards-looking measure
Deflation,
Punctuated by Spasms of Inflation
David Rosenberg
Says the Bond Market Has Inflation Right
The transitory boat is a
small one. Powell and Yellen have to say that no matter what they believe. Rosenberg,
Hunt, and I are in the small boat. And if you want another reason to be in that
boat with us, then think about what happens when asset bubbles burst. It won't
be inflationary, that's for sure.
Peakish Growth?
The 10Y Yield Decline Is More Signal Than Noise
And that is the odd part of
all of the above. GDP is going to decelerate with inflation (probably)
following suit to even greater extent. All of this while the Fed is talking
about talking about tapering their asset purchases. Maybe the decline in the
10-year yield is more signal than noise. With seemingly everything looking
peakish, it is worth contemplating what the otherside might look like.
Powell Just Made
A Huge Error: What The Market's Shocking Response Means For The Fed's Endgame
the market's reaction to
last week's unexpected Fed announcement suggests that r* now is even lower -
which makes intuitive sense in light of the surge in debt and decline in growth
excluding government stimulus - and that the next tightening cycle, which may
start as soon as next year according to Bullard - will be the shallowest one
yet as the US economy can hardly afford tighter financial conditions.
… Said otherwise, if the Fed
decides to go early - as first Powell hinted and then Bullard doubled down on
Friday sending stocks plunging - the market is saying that it won’t be able to go very far before
inflation and growth hit a speed limit, pushing yield expectations after the
initial hike lower.
Auerback: “Jobs and prices.” Maybe there is a labor shortage.
In general, inflation as
popularly understood appears when there is chronic excess demand relative to
the real capacity of the economy to produce—in familiar terms, too much money
is chasing too few goods. In policy terms, it means we see a constant tension
on the part of policymakers to get the balance between demand and supply
correct to avoid excessive price pressures. What’s the state of play today? In
a word, alarming. Consumer prices haven’t risen this fast in years.
… If one is to judge from
muted reaction of the bond market, these inflationary pressures are likely to
prove transitory, a product of the temporary supply and demand distortions in
the labor market brought about by Covid–19. Indeed, state and federal
unemployment claims data—which count unemployed people who have already filed a
claim and who are continuing to receive weekly benefits—appeared to confirm
that we had enormous slack in the labor market.
More recently, however, other competing sources of labor data—notably,
the Bureau of Labor Statistics payroll and household surveys—have indicated more and more signs of labor
scarcity, which would better explain the recent sharp price increases. Far from
proving transitory, these labor shortages are multiplying
… The big policy question
is: How long can the administration and the Federal Reserve ignore this
burgeoning evidence of growing labor scarcity? And if this inflation story
turns out to be less than transitory, what kind of a political response will it
engender
Supply and Demand Are Coming Back Into Balance. These
9 Charts Show How.
Bubble Fare:
Hussman: Alice’s Adventures in Equilibrium
GMO: There Are No Bad
Assets; Just Bad Prices.
We’re Not In A Real Estate Bubble. It’s far worse than that.
What if the newly-redefined value of shelter is the maximum amount of
annual rent that can be extracted per unit of housing?
(not just) for the ESG crowd:
Fairytales of
Economic Growth: Reimagining a sustainable economy
Biden’s Climate
Irresponsibility
It would be nice if having a Democratic president automatically meant
real action on climate change. Sadly, it isn’t true.
…
What do we hope from Democratic leadership when it comes to energy and
the climate? “Anything is better than Donald Trump,” is not a passable standard
and does not amount to listening to scientific consensus or showing leadership.
Measured against the scale of the climate crisis or against other developed
countries, or even against Obama’s weak record, signs are not good that the
Biden administration will bring needed progress.
The Climate
Culture Shock Is Coming
In the corporate world, big change starts at the top—which means
companies will have to shake up their leadership to fulfill their environmental
agendas.
The rush to ‘go
electric’ comes with a hidden cost: destructive lithium mining
Rocky Mountain
Forests Burning More Now Than Any Time in the Past 2,000 Years
It’s raining
‘forever chemicals’ in the Great Lakes
Other Fare:
'I was completely inside': Lobster diver swallowed by
humpback whale off Provincetown
EXTRA [controversial or non-market-related] FARE:
Regular Fare:
The New
Permanent Plateau Of Idiocracy
Over one year from the onset
of the pandemic and the biggest asset bubble in human history has reached
lethal proportions. Valuations are totally meaningless at this point in time.
At the best of times Wall Street predictions have the veracity of a profoundly
corrupt Magic 8 ball. Now they are ludicrous predictions regarding
post-pandemic profitability built on top of the asinine predictions regarding
the post-pandemic economy.
The only quasi-objective
measurement of valuation is market cap over GDP which has reached suicidal
levels that portend years if not decades of negative returns for current
holders of stonks at these levels.
…
The U.S. is now firmly down
the path Japan took thirty years ago. It's called deflation denial.
Japan has had many false
dawns over these past three decades - too many to count. Each one landed them
back at the zero interest rate bound.
For those who want a
straightforward explanation of inflation versus deflation - here it is:
Deflation is when wages are
going up slower than prices. Inflation is when wages are going up faster than
prices. Which do you honestly think we are in? Exactly. We are at no risk of
hyper-inflation. Back in the 1970s, the economy was at full capacity
utilization and private sector unionization was all time high. Now today, both
capacity utilization and unionization is at an all time low. There is no cost
of living increase at Chipotle.
Under this current paradigm,
there is constant downward pressure on wages - from outsourcing, immigration,
automation, and now mass unemployment. Worse yet, monetary policy is solely
focused on financial markets which is why there is constant hysteria over the
slightest inflation. Our entire society is now enslaved to financial markets
Ian Welsh: The Lords Of
Hell (And Their Slaves)
industrialization plus
modern agriculture produces more than we need, easily. Automation should mean
that less and less hours needed working. We should be living in a paradise of
free time and choice.
We do not because a small
minority has captured power and enslaved the rest of us.
These people are monsters on
every possible level, including their depraved indifference to what will happen
to their children and grandchildren under environmental collapse and climate
change.
…
This is our society: a
society which had the technology to create a near utopia without destroying the
world (yes, some people will argue this was always impossible. Let us say that
we never even tried) and which chooses instead to run a master/slave society
which is so advanced it convinces most of the slaves they are free.
You WISH you had “Brave New
World” because at least then you’d think you were happy.
It is odd, and sad, that
this world will end because the masters, abetted by their slaves (who,
remember, have not revolted in any meaningful way and have chosen among the
master-class thru voting), have mismanaging the environment so badly.
When that happens, the
powerful are betting they will become even more powerful: that they can use
their resources to be masters in an even greater hell.
Let me suggest, that as you
or your children are scrabbling for survival in the world to come, you take the
time to ensure that the masters don’t “win” by destroying the environment.
Because the hell they will
create in a collapsing world will make this hell look wonderful by comparison
and they will never stop creating Hells if it is not made clear that those who
do so will not profit from it, even with their lives.
ESG Fare:
Ikonoclast: And we are still
doing nothing substantive to stop this
It is common mistake, and
one I long made, to pay attention only to primary input resources. Thus we were
obsessed about peak oil, peak coal and peak gas, imagining that the supply of
these primary input resources would be the constraint for our global
civilization, civilization being so energy dependent. However, it turns out
that the major constraint on civilization involves not our inputs but our
wastes. Our wastes wreck ecological, biosphere and geosphere systems.
Climate change is the best
case in point of the above (though not the only case). Climate change melts ice
caps and glaciers, raises sea levels, raises temperatures and exacerbates both
floods and droughts, generating wilder swings between the two and periods where
regional climate remains stuck longer in one phase. It changes growing seasons,
affecting food production.
It is extremely troubling
that coal, oil and gas still contribute so much to our energy mix. To save the
world from catastrophic climate change we should have already reduced our use
to the point that we could reach zero use by 2030.
Teflon and
'forever chemicals:' The hidden toxins in your body
What’s your
beef? An ethicist’s guide to giving up meat
The case for giving up meat
should be easy to win. Eating meat is clearly inconsiderate to animals:
slaughtering billions of sentient beings each year seems gratuitously cruel
when our nutritional needs can easily be met in other ways. It’s demonstrably
unfair to our fellow humans and the environment, too. Meat-eating – especially
consuming beef, which is the most wasteful and environmentally damaging kind –
is responsible for most of the carbon emissions the food industry produces.
Yet those who eat meat are
largely unmoved by the arguments against it. Why? In most societies,
meat-eating is still presented as the natural state of things, a necessary part
of a healthy diet. It doesn’t matter that red and processed meats have been
linked to cancer and heart disease, or that we know early humans mostly ate
vegetables.
Climate Tweets of the Week:
The tendency to use models
to arrive at desired outcomes which in no way reflect reality and then
announce these results as being consensus science should concern everyone.
Must Read [in-full] COVID Fare:
The Real
Efficacy of Covid-19 Vaccines – a Medical Researcher Debunks the Claims
…
Absolute Risk Reduction (ARR) and Relative Risk Reduction (RRR)
Why are ARR and RRR very
important? Very simply, let’s assume you have 100 people in a Treatment group
and another 100 people in a Control or placebo group. Then, let’s say that 2
people get Disease X in the Control group while one person gets Disease X in
the Treatment group. The Relative Risk Reduction or RRR in this example is 50%
because one diseased person is 50% or half of 2 diseased people. However, the
Absolute Risk Reduction (ARR) is only 1% because in the treatment group, only
one fewer people out of 100 participants got Disease X. You can also work it
out using these formulas:
1) In the Treatment group,
1/100 got Disease X = 1% which is the EER (Experimental Event Rate)
2) In the Control or placebo
group, 2/100 got Disease X = 2% which is the CER (Control Event Rate)
3) ARR (Absolute Risk
Reduction) = CER – EER = 2% – 1% = 1%
In a subtraction the % signs
carry through the equation and are kept.
4) RRR (Relative Risk
Reduction) = ARR divided by CER = 1% divided by 2% = 1/2
In a division, the % signs
cancel each other out and are not kept, but 1/2 is the same as 50%.
Let’s say the Treatment in
this example had side effects, as most treatments do. If a patient were offered
this Treatment and was told that the “efficacy” (how well the treatment works)
was only 1% (the ARR) which is the true efficacy, this patient would be much
less likely to accept the Treatment and its side effects than if he or she were
told the efficacy was 50%. Fifty percent sounds a lot more promising than 1%
but it reflects only the comparison between the diseased people of each group. The ARR or 1% efficacy is
much more accurate as it reflects how many more people out of 100 will be
protected from Disease X as a result of the Treatment. To just say that the Treatment is 50%
effective in this scenario by ignoring the ARR is to introduce outcome
reporting bias.
…
Analysis of Pfizer’s Data
1) In the vaccine group,
8/18,198 got Covid-19 infection (not death) = 0.044% This is the EER
(Experimental Event Rate)
2) In the Control (placebo)
group, 162/18,325 got covid-19 infection (not death ) = 0.884% This is the CER
(Control Event Rate)
3) ARR (Absolute Risk
Reduction) = CER – EER = 0.884% – 0.044% = 0.84% = 0.84/100 = 0.0084
4) RRR (Relative Risk
Reduction) = ARR divided by CER or 0.84% divided by 0.884% = 0.95
As this formula involves
division, the percentage signs cancel out. 0.95 is the same as 95% which is
what the Pfizer study reports for “efficacy.” An “efficacy” of 95% gives the
impression that one is 95% less likely to catch Covid-19 if one is vaccinated
with Pfizer’s Covid-19 vaccine. However,
5) the ARR or Absolute Risk Reduction, which is 0.0084 or 0.84%, is
actually less than 1%
As shown under the ARR and
RRR heading above, the ARR (of any study) is far more accurate than the RRR,
but clearly, 95% sounds much more compelling than <1%. Referring to the
“efficacy” of the Pfizer vaccine as 95% is not technically incorrect, but it is
very misleading as this value does not properly inform the vaccine recipient.
Such misrepresentation is at the very least unethical and at most illegal in
many countries which require informed consent. Unfortunately, it is easy for
outcome reporting bias to escape detection since the average individual,
including the average doctor, does not understand ARR and RRR and will
automatically assume that “95% efficacy” means 95% less likely to get Covid-19
in the real world.
Another way of understanding
the ARR is by calculating the number needed to treat, or the NNT. The NNT in this case would
be the number of people who would need to be vaccinated to prevent ONE case of
Covid-19 infection (not death, since the study
did not measure death)
Here is the calculation:
NNT = 1/ARR = 1 divided by
0.84% = 1/0.0084 = 119 people.
Note how 1/119 is also less
than 1%
If we extrapolate an NNT of
119 to a population of 330 million, assuming the entire population of the USA
were vaccinated with the Pfizer Covid-19 vaccine, 2.77 million Covid-19
infections (not deaths) would be prevented.
To date, there have been
33,217,718 Covid-19 recorded cases in the US and 593,282 recorded Covid-19
deaths. These statistics can be found here https://covidusa.net/ and their validity assumes that Covid cases have not been underestimated and Covid deaths
have not been overestimated.
If 2.77 million Covid-19 cases had been prevented by fully vaccinating every US
citizen, the US would still have experienced
approximately 30,447,780 Covid infections and by extrapolation 543,810
Covid deaths, a reduction of 49,472 deaths or 1.78% fewer Covid-19 deaths.
…
A similar analysis of
Moderna’s raw data which can be found in their product monograph here https://covid-vaccine.canada.ca/info/pdf/covid-19-vaccine-moderna-pm-en.pdf, shows a Relative Risk Reduction of 94%, an
Absolute Risk Reduction of 1.2%, and a NNT of 83. In other words, Moderna’s
Covid-19 case prevention is only marginally better than Pfizer’s.
From experience, we already
know that self-isolation (staying home) when symptomatically ill, appropriate
distancing and appropriate masking are more effective than less than 1%, the
protection afforded by a Covid-19 vaccine. Otherwise, countries would not have
been able to control this pandemic to any extent prior to the introduction of
any vaccine.
Compared to providing Covid-19 protection, these mRNA vaccines are much
more effective in enriching their already wealthy pharmaceutical producers, or those who have heavily invested in them.
For the public good, it would have made more sense, saved more money,
more time and possibly more lives to have put research efforts into other
potential Covid-19 treatments, such as Ivermectin, Melatonin, Vitamin D, even
the highly controversial Hydroxychloroquin, or anything else that has shown any
indication of being helpful either as a prevention or a cure. Unfortunately, these are all inexpensive
drugs with no hope of any appreciable returns for the pharmaceutical industry
which relies on new innovations to garner profits, even if those innovations
are of minimum benefit with the potential to cause great harm.
Here, I am not referring to
harm from side effects, but harm from misplaced trust in a product that
provides more side effects than it does protection. Justification for any treatment is found only when the
benefits outweigh the risks. A quick look at the side effect rates in the
tables of Pfizer’s and Moderna’s product monographs shows that although not
life threatening in the studies, mild, moderate and severe side effects
occurred with greater frequency than the <1% protection afforded by the
Covid-19 Pfizer vaccine or the 1.2% protection afforded by the Moderna vaccine.
Having executed this exercise, it no longer puzzles me that governments
and public health departments continue to recommend social distancing, mask
wearing, business closures and all the usual restrictions even for those who
have had both doses of a Covid-19 vaccine. The public has also been told that
there is no evidence that vaccination guarantees the prevention of Covid-19
spread or prevention. We now understand why this is true. At least the public
is not being lied to all the time.
Historically, pandemics
eventually run out of steam, killing off the vulnerable, not affecting those
who are resistant and rendering natural immunity to the rest. Could some drug
companies possibly be trying to profit as much as possible while this pandemic
is still with us, and when it’s all over, take the credit for ending it? After
all, we are being told that the only long-term solution to this pandemic is –
immunization – but… is that true even with a <1% or 1.2% effective vaccine?
Absolutely not.
Does this mean we will be
required to re-immunize everyone indefinitely to prevent this pandemic from
resurfacing? With vaccines that have such low efficacy, that is precisely what
we may be required to do. In fact, it has already begun. Having barely finished
giving our citizens their second dose, new recommendations are already emerging
for booster doses of Covid-19 vaccines for the upcoming fall season. The public
is already being forewarned that booster shots may be needed for a long time
yet to come. Indeed, reaching herd immunity with any vaccine that has such a low
efficacy would take a very, very long time. The natural infectivity of Covid-19 will achieve
herd immunity much sooner and when the end of this pandemic finally comes – the
vaccine will take a bow.
…
Conclusions:
Vaccination with a poor vaccine is not the panacea that will end the
pandemic and bring us all back to normal. I could go on forever about the socioeconomic, ethical and legal
implications of a highly ineffective vaccine that is being touted as a world
savior by playing on public ignorance, fear and fatigue.
The bottom line is: If
people are properly informed that their ineffective protection from a Covid
vaccine is actually 1% or less, and not 95% as advertised, vaccine uptake would
drop dramatically, and in this particular instance, it should. Then, we can free
ourselves, our energies, time and resources, to pursue better public health
recommendations that utilize good scientific research to focuses on other more
meaningful breakthroughs, including but not limited to any other much better
vaccine in the fight against this, and any future pandemic.
As a medical researcher, a
purist who searches for factual truths, I find this type of large-scale public exploitation
and manipulation by the pharmaceutical industry for personal gain, utterly
deplorable. What is even more alarming
is how the vast
majority of my well-intentioned but misguided medical colleagues have fallen
hook, line and sinker for the vaccine rhetoric and are now falling over each other to
immunize one another and thousands of equally poorly informed individuals with
a vaccine that has an ARR of 1% or less. Words cannot express my dismay for our
centers of medical research, licensing bodies and other medical bodies, have abandoned
evidence-based medicine in favor of “trust” in a misguided rhetoric, even threatening disciplinary action against
any physician who refuses a Covid-19 vaccine.
As I watch my once very
reliable, logical and evidence-based scientific world disintegrate, sinking
into ignorance and mass madness, my only hope is that ….. [non-scientific
mumbo jumbo]
Mitteldorf reprisal [briefly quoted May 24]: Unthinkable
Thoughts
The spike protein is the
part of the virus structure that interfaces with the host cell. SARS 1 and SARS
2 viruses both have spike proteins that bind to a human cell receptor called
ACE-2, common in lung cells but also present in other parts of the body.
Binding to the cell’s ACE-2 receptor is like the wolf knocking at the door of
Little Red Riding Hood’s grandmother. “Hello, grandmama. I’m your granddaughter.
Please let me in.” The virus is a wolf wearing a red cape and hood, pretends to
be an ACE-2 enzyme molecule seeking entrance to the cell. In order to enter the
cell, the virus must break off from the spike protein and leave it at the
doorstep, so to speak. This is an important and difficult step, as it turns
out. Unique to the SARS-CoV-2 virus is a trick for making the separation. Just
at the edge of the protein is a furin cleavage site.
Furin is an enzyme that
snips protein molecules, and it is common in our bodies, with legitimate
metabolic uses. A furin cleavage site is a string of 4 particular amino acids
that calls to furin, “hey — come over here. I’m a protein that needs snipping.”
The most compelling evidence for a laboratory origin of COVID is that
coronaviruses don’t have furin cleavage sites, and until last year, this trick
has never evolved naturally. The classical understanding of a viral or
bacterial disease is this: A parasite is an organism that uses the host’s
resources for its own reproduction. It is evolved to reproduce efficiently. If
it has co-evolved with the host, it may be evolved to spare the host’s health,
or even to promote it, because this is the optimal long-term strategy for any
predator or parasite.
But newly-emerged parasites
can do well for awhile even if they disable or kill their hosts, and this is
the kind of disease that is most damaging to us. The damage is done because the
(young) virus’s strategy is to reproduce rapidly and disperse itself into the
environment where it can find new hosts. The virus has no interest in harming
the host, and was not evolved to this end, but this is a side-effect of
commandeering the body’s resources for its own reproduction. A bioweapon virus
is designed to cause a certain kind of harm. What kind of harm? It depends on
the projected use for the weapon. Doesn’t the virus have to reproduce?
Probably, for most weapon applications; but a bioweapon is not necessarily
designed for rapid reproduction. A bioweapon can be designed as a “sleeper” to
remain dormant for months or years, or to cause incremental disability over a
long period.
If COVID had evolved
naturally, we would expect that its spike protein would be adapted to mate well
with the human ACE-2 receptor. There’s no reason to suspect it being otherwise
biologically active. But if COVID is engineered, it may be that the spike protein itself has
been designed to make us sick. One reason this is significant is that the
vaccines have all been designed around the spike protein, assuming that the
spike protein were metabolically neutral. If the virus had been naturally
evolved, this is a reasonable assumption. But if it came from a laboratory
(whether it leaked or was deliberately released) the spike protein might be
actually be the agent of damage. There are several reasons to suspect that this
is the case.
…
Even doing what the spike
protein is supposed to do — tying up ACE2 — can be a problem for our lungs and
arteries, which are routinely protected by ACE2.
The most dangerous
possibility, suspected but not verified, is that the spike protein causes a
prion cascade. Prions are paradoxical pathogens, in that they are misfolded
proteins that cause misfolded proteins. Their evolutionary etiology is utterly
mysterious, so much so that it took Stanley Prusiner a decade after describing
the biology of prions before the scientific community would take prion
biochemistry seriously. But prions make potent bioweapons, which laboratories
can design outside of natural evolutionary dynamics. The possibility of
prion-like structures in the spike protein was noted very early in the pandemic
based on a computational study. This recent review combines theoretical,
laboratory, and observational evidence to make a case for caution. Once again,
I find it disturbing that this possibility is being dismissed on theoretical
grounds rather than investigated in the lab and the field.
Where did the idea come from that all vaccines are automatically safe?
Why do so many journalists dismiss the suggestion that vaccines should be
placebo-tested individually, like all other drugs? Why has it become routine to
ridicule and denigrate scientists who ask questions about vaccine safety as
politically-motivated luddites, or “anti-vaxxers”? How did we get to a
situation where the “precautionary principle” means pressuring young people who
are at almost no risk for serious COVID to accept a vaccine which has not been
fully tested or approved? I don’t have answers, but I do know who benefits from
this culture.
Why Subject Our
Children To The Risk Of Death From Vaccination?
AS TCW reported yesterday,
the regulator MHRA has approved the Pfizer Covid vaccine for children as young
as 12. Originally, it was argued that vaccines were needed to protect children
against severe Covid. However, even the most ardent pro-vaxxers now recognise
that the illness poses only a tiny risk to children, so they’ve adopted a new
strategy: they claim that we must vaccinate children to achieve herd immunity
against SARS-CoV-2. This claim reveals a shocking ignorance about the virus.
Here’s the simple fact: we
will never achieve full herd immunity against SARS-CoV-2.
The most important thing to
remember is that none of the present vaccines confers sterilising immunity; in other words they do not prevent infection
or the ability to transmit the virus; they only protect against severe cases.
Both the regulatory agencies and the vaccine manufacturers admit this. This is
because the vaccines do not produce mucosal antibody responses in the airways.
Thus, we have a significant number of ‘breakthrough cases’ in double-vaxxed
subjects, including seven members of the New York Yankees who recently tested
positive after being fully vaccinated.
Thus, even if we vaccinated
everyone on earth with the present Covid vaccines, we would not achieve full
herd immunity. The virus would still spread between people, and those with weak
immune systems, including the elderly and those with comorbidities, would
continue to develop covid from time to time.
But let’s imagine that
scientists developed a vaccine that did confer something like full sterilising
immunity. We might be able to hunt down human clusters of Covid, but what are
we going to do with the animal reservoirs of SARS-CoV-2? According to the US
Centers for Disease Control (CDC), the following animals can be infected with
the virus: cats, dogs, voles, ferrets, fruit bats, hamsters, mink, pigs,
rabbits, raccoon dogs, tree shrews and white-tailed deer. So, are we going
chase down all the domestic and wild animals around us and vaccinate them?
Smallpox is the only virus that
humanity has fully eliminated from the world. We were able to do this because
it infects only humans (i.e. it has no animal reservoir), and we have a
smallpox vaccine that confers full sterilising immunity. We have not been able
to eliminate any of the other viruses for which we receive regular
vaccinations. Even polio still exists, despite a 32-year vaccination campaign,
despite a nearly perfect vaccine, and despite the fact that polio does not
infect other animals.
So let’s face it: complete
herd immunity is a pipe dream. So is ‘zero Covid’ or full elimination of the
virus. Any attempts to achieve these things will cause massive economic harm
and involve severe violations of human rights and individual freedoms. And they
will fail.
All non-corrupted scientific
commentators have known from the very start that this pandemic only ends one
way: SARS-CoV-2 is going to become an endemic virus. It will always be with us.
The sooner most of us are exposed to it, ideally in childhood, the sooner it
will cease to be a major problem. High-risk individuals can choose to take a
vaccine. Ivermectin and vitamin D can be used to prevent infection and treat
confirmed cases. As we have seen, the argument that children must take vaccines
so that we can achieve herd immunity is utterly false. Only those completely
ignorant of virology and immunology would even attempt to make it. That brings
us back to the original argument for vaccinating children against Covid: to
protect them from the severe disease.
If this is the only reason
to vaccinate children, there is only one calculation that parents should make:
Is the risk from Covid greater than the risk from the vaccine? The present
Covid vaccines being administered in the West are based on experimental
technologies that are being used under emergency use authorisations (EUAs).
Full safety studies will not be completed until 2023. The Covid vaccines were
all created in the last year and we have no medium-term or long-term data on
them. We don’t know if they will have an effect on children’s reproductive
organs and fertility. We don’t know if they will produce auto-immune diseases.
And we don’t know if they will lead to ADE (antibody-dependent enhancement)
upon re-exposure to the virus (causing more severe illness).
We do know that the vaccines
produce a range of cardiovascular and neurological events including strokes,
myocarditis, pericarditis and paralysis in a significant number of people. In
the small US state of Connecticut at least 18 children and young adults have
come down with myocarditis, an extremely serious and sometimes fatal condition
involving inflammation of the heart muscle (and they’ve only just started
vaccinating children there). The Israel Ministry of Health has reported that
the incidence of myocarditis for vaccine recipients is between 1 in 3,000 and 1
in 6,000 in young men. In Canada (population 38 million) only 11 children have
died from Covid since the start of the pandemic. In the UK (pop 68 million) 32
children have died. It is nearly certain that all of them had one or more
severe comorbidities. The fact is, most children brush off Covid without even
knowing they’ve had it. For all intents and purposes, Covid poses zero risk to
healthy children.
It is clear that for
children the risk of death or injury from the vaccine is at least an order of
magnitude greater than the risk of death or injury from the virus. So since
herd immunity or zero Covid is clearly an impossible goal, why in God’s name
are we subjecting our children to the risk of death or life-changing injury?
I’ll tell you why: Because this really isn’t about health at all. It’s being
driven mostly by two things: the profit motives of Big Pharma and Big Tech, and
a cult-like religious movement in which masking and vaccinations are the
sacraments by which one demonstrates their virtue.
So, let’s get back to
reality. If you’re an adult and you trust the safety of the vaccines, then
you’ve taken yours, or you will soon, and you’re protected. You don’t need to
worry about whether others are vaccinated. If you’ve got an umbrella, you don’t
need to worry if others go out without them. If they get wet, that’s their
problem, not yours.
If you’re a parent, like I
am, I want to speak directly to you. I know you love your children. I know you
worry when your children are ill. Just imagine if you made a decision – a
completely optional decision, with no benefit to your child or the rest of society
– that resulted in your child being injured, killed or rendered infertile. And
you did it simply because you wanted to appear virtuous, or because it was the
easy thing to do. How would you feel? How would you explain your decision to
your child if they were injured or infertile?
Let’s all remember the
injunction of the Hippocratic Oath: First, do no harm.
More COVID Fare:
They Denied A
Lab Leak At Wuhan. They Are Wrong About Other Things
From the start, there was no
room for both vaccines and treatments under the statute that has allowed
millions of Americans to be vaccinated with an unlicensed, largely unstudied
substance. The key mechanism on which this turned was the vaccine’s “Emergency
Use Authorization,” which can be granted by the FDA only if there is “no
adequate, approved, and available alternative to the product for diagnosing,
preventing or treating” a disease. But even as the vaccine was minimally tested
and maximally hyped, there was an alternative. Ivermectin. “It’s the most
effective antiviral agent we have,” Dr. Paul E. Marik, co-founder of Front Line
COVID-19 Critical Care Alliance, said in a conversation for this article. “If
the WHO was to say that or the NIH — were they to approve ivermectin — the EUA
for all the vaccines would become invalid.”
Ivermectin, said FLCCC
president Dr. Pierre Kory, “would kneecap the entire global vaccine policy
around the world.” The choice was always vaccines OR treatment. Not both.
Operation Warp Speed spent three times as much — $18 billion — to develop a
vaccine as it did to develop a treatment.
I always get vaccinated. I
have been fully vaccinated with the Moderna COVID vaccine. My three daughters
have all been vaccinated.
I recently learned that
these vaccines have likely killed over 25,800 Americans (which I confirmed 3
different ways) and disabled at least 1,000,000 more. And we’re only halfway to
the finish line. We need to PAUSE these vaccines NOW before more people are
killed.
The CDC, FDA, and NIH aren’t
disclosing how many people have been killed or disabled from the COVID
vaccines. The mainstream media isn’t asking any questions; they are playing
along. YouTube, Facebook, Twitter, and others are all censoring content that
goes against the “perfectly safe” narrative so nobody is the wiser. Tony Fauci,
the “father of COVID,” is still in his job even though all of this is his
fault. Cliff Lane, who reports to Tony, is still sandbagging early treatments
so that people will falsely believe that the vaccine is the only option. The
Democrats are still asleep at the wheel by refusing to request Fauci’s
unredacted emails from the NIH which will prove he covered up the fact he
created the virus in the first place. Biden is clueless urging Americans to
vaccinate their kids with a deadly vaccine that has likely killed more than
25,000 Americans so far. Academics in the medical community are nearly all clueless,
urging people to get the safe and effective vaccine. When I tried to bring this
to the attention of leading academics they told me I was wrong and not to
contact them ever again. Sound too hard to believe? I don’t blame you. But
there is a reason that this article is the most popular article that has ever
been on TrialSiteNews with over 1M views so far. It’s because everything I’ve
said is true. And nobody will debate me live about it. They all refuse.
Based on what I now know
about the miniscule vaccine benefits (less than a .5% reduction in absolute
risk), side effects (including death), current COVID rates, and the success
rate of early treatment protocols, the answer I would give today to anyone
asking me for advice as to whether to take any of the current vaccines would
be, “Just say NO.” Waiting for Novavax (and other traditional vaccines) is a
much safer option. If you get COVID in the meantime, treating with early
treatment protocols that incorporate fluvoxamine and ivermectin is vastly superior
to getting the most dangerous vaccine in the last 30 years.
In this article, I will
explain what I have learned since I was vaccinated that totally changed my
mind. You will learn how these vaccines work and the shortcuts that led to the
mistakes that were made. You will understand why there are so many side effects
and why these are so varied and why they usually happen within 30 days of
vaccination. You will understand why kids are having heart issues (for which
there is no treatment), and temporarily losing their sight, and ability to
talk. You will understand why as many as 3% may be severely disabled by the
vaccine. You will understand why doctors aren’t reporting these as
vaccine-related.
What I find deeply
disturbing is the lack of transparency on how dangerous the current COVID
vaccines are. Healthy people could end up dead or permanently disabled at a
rate that is “off the charts” compared with any other vaccine in our history….
Yes, technology can be
wonderful, and yes, scientists can be very clever. Unfortunately, there have
probably been more disasters in the experimental stages of products the big
pharmaceutical companies want to market than successes—at least a fair share of
them. The vaccines have been approved as experimental therapy, nothing more. How
many times was it that Edison tested his light bulb before it was successful?
Pfizer Vaccine
Authorised, Data Sight Unseen
It is impossible to assess
this study fully because 98% of the document was removed in order to protect
Pfizer’s intellectual property
CDC schedules
emergency meeting on RNA Covid-19 vaccine safety in young people
The CDC's top vaccine
advisors have scheduled an emergency meeting for Friday, June 18, about reports
of myocarditis and pericardium, or heart inflammation, young people after they
received Pfizer or Moderna Covid-19 vaccines.
The CDC says it knows of at
least 800 reports of heart inflammation after Covid-19 vaccination. Of those,
226 cases of myocarditis were reported in age 30 and under after vaccination
with the two "RNA" medicines.
The Killer in
the Bloodstream: the "Spike Protein"
Regulatory documents also
show Pfizer did not follow industry-standard quality management practices
during preclinical toxicology studies of its vaccine, as key studies did not
meet good laboratory practice (GLP)… “The implications of these findings are
that Pfizer was trying to accelerate the vaccine development timeline based on
the pressures of the pandemic,”
Robert Malone, mRNA-vaccine inventor: Regarding Dosing
Of The Covid Genetic Vaccines
Regarding dosing of the
COVID genetic vaccines (mRNA, recombinant adenovirus) versus the more
traditional vaccines (including Novavax). There are some inconvenient truths
here.
First, the current genetic
vaccines (Sanofi, J&J, Pfizer, Moderna) did not undergo the time tested
assessments of dose ranging and dose timing clinical studies, to the best of my
knowledge. I have direct first person report of how the dose was selected for
Moderna (confidential source), and it was basically a SWAG by committee
consensus. Personally, for what it is worth, it is my opinion that the current
mRNA vaccines selected a dose that was too high, too far up on the sigmoidal
dose response curve – so that we may have excess adverse events. Dose selection
with vaccines is usually about careful balancing of adverse events with
potency/efficacy/effectiveness, with a bias towards safety.
Second big inconvenient
truth is that the spike protein is the actual active agent, in terms of
eliciting an immune response. And in the case of the traditional vaccines, the
dose of spike protein is defined relatively precisely. With the genetic
vaccines, it is not (to the best of my knowledge). I know of no data wherein
the mean, median, range etc of total amount of spike protein produced in a
patient after administration of the COVID genetic vaccine has been defined.
Usually, the FDA is quite persnickety about such things, but I am not aware of
this key variable having been determined. Therefore, the range and severety of
adverse events potentially attributable to the level of expressed spike protein
may reflect patient to patient differences in genetic transfer efficiency and
subsequent spike expression.
Apart from the civil
liberties issues, the fact that only unvaccinated will be routinely tested also
means that data on vaccine effectiveness will be massively biased because the
vast bulk of people being tested will be asymptomatic unvaccinated people. When
real infection rates are low (as they are now) this bias will exaggerate
vaccine effectiveness because almost all new 'cases' will be asymptomatics
(i.e. unvaccinated) - most of which will be false positives. Yet, if infection rates are high the bias
could underestimate vaccine effectiveness as the proportion of symptomatics
among those tested will be higher for the vaccinated.
Kunstler: Struggle Session
Let’s face it: the
government has done everything wrong around the Covid-19 episode from the
start, and continues to this day.
…
In late 2020, big pharma
companies start releasing mRNA compounds they call “vaccines.” They are not
egg-zackly vaccines in the standard sense of what vaccines have been since the
British doctor Edward Jenner first inoculated humans for smallpox in 1796 using
a weaker cowpox live virus. The Covid-19 “vaccines” are miracles of genetic
engineering. They deliver instructions via a lipid nano-particle for the body
to manufacture spike proteins of the kind that form the corona of Covid-19,
which, in turn prompts the immune system to fight the virus. Sweet! Except they
have not gone through the years-long trials usually required by the FDA. By
spring of 2021, evidence emerges that the spike protein may have some toxic
properties of its own. Uh-oh.
It seems to interfere with
women’s reproductive functions; it attacks the epithelial lining of blood
vessels; it appears to induce blood clotting that can lead to strokes and
infarctions; it can produce neurological disorders; it gets into other organs
and messes with them…. Yikes! Ordinarily, vaccines that produce a very few
cases of dangerous side-effects are held back from distribution. But under the
emergency declaration for Covid-19, the mRNA “vaccines” are proffered even more
aggressively. Through May, 2021, The Science (Dr. Fauci) presses to “vaccinate”
as many Americans as can possibly be rounded up, including people who have
recovered from Covid-19 and have developed their own natural antibodies.
Lately, The Science (Dr.
Fauci) has militated for children and teenagers to get “vaccinated.” Only, now
it turns out that scores of “vaccinated” young people are showing up with
inflammation of the heart muscle (myocarditis), otherwise extremely rare in
that demographic. Say what, plus huh, plus WTF? Does it not seem as if The
Science (Dr. Fauci) has lurched from one blunder to the next, while also
withholding the truth from the public, lying about the origin of the disease,
and its (his) role in the development of the “vaccines,” and now rather
desperately, it seems, trying to cover its (his) ass? What does “Joe Biden”
& Co. do about The Science (Dr. Fauci) now?...
Taibbi: Why Has
"Ivermectin" Become a Dirty Word?
The mechanisms of
action of Ivermectin against SARS-CoV-2: An evidence-based clinical review
article
Ivermectin for
Prevention and Treatment of COVID-19 Infection
A Systematic Review, Meta-analysis, and Trial Sequential Analysis to
Inform Clinical Guidelines
A Group Of
Parents Sent Their Kids' Face Masks to A Lab for Analysis. Here's What They
Found
COVID Pics:
Vaccines are winning?
Big Thoughts:
What if the Earth isn’t the centre of everything? What if the ancestors
of humans once looked like monkeys, or were single-celled organisms? What if
the continents move?
These questions were once beyond the pale. They were
not to be discussed in polite society, were outside the frame of the Overton
window. None of that made them untrue, however, or unimportant.
Every idea that we now understand to be true was first realized by a
human mind, unknown to anyone else. Before that moment, nobody in our species
had had the thought. Our lack of knowledge limited us. And yet before any human
had the thought, it was nevertheless true. Some person first conceived the
idea, thought on it for a while, honed it, shaped it, and then shared it. Maybe
the first person they shared it with thought it was a terrific idea. More
likely, they thought the originator was wrong, maybe engaged in crazy talk. For
a while, the idea may have even been considered dangerous, worthy of contempt
and scorn. And for a long time thereafter, that idea—one that, in
retrospect, we understand to be fundamental—was at the very least considered
outside the range of acceptable and accepted thought. It was heterodox.
Galileo might have had a few things to say about that.
Orthodoxy and heterodoxy—apparent opposites pulling against one another
from across a gap that can seem impassable—in fact rely on and thrive with one
another. Orthodoxy is effective at times of stasis, when what is to come looks
very much like what came before, and when what we believe to be true is in fact
true. Too much orthodoxy, though, and we become stale and stagnant. Heterodoxy
injects new ideas into a system, and is necessary any time the world is
changing, and the future has little chance of looking like the past. Too much
heterodoxy, however, and we become frenzied and chaotic.
Regardless of what is most needed in the world at any given
moment—regardless of whether the conditions call for more orthodoxy or more
heterodoxy—there always needs to be an avenue for discussion. Both orthodox and
heterodox ideas always need to be publicly discussable. Otherwise, whoever
holds the most power when censorship begins—at the point at which people begin
hiding their thoughts and conversations—will gain ever more power. The powerful
will shape the governing orthodoxy—and it will always be an orthodoxy, even if
its central ideas were heterodox just yesterday—and will crack down ever harder
on those who dissent.
The argument, of course, is not that all instances of dissent are
necessary, or valuable, or reasonable. Angry, deceitful and dangerous words,
actions and regimes have emerged from dissent countless times throughout
history. But dissent in and of itself is utterly necessary. Instances of
ill-considered dissent are too often trotted out as proof that dissent itself
is dangerous, but this is poor logic, and often obscures other motives.
It is naïve to imagine that—living as we do within the
constraints of the moment—we can see into the future with such clarity that
those who would decide what speech is and is not acceptable are in a good
position to know what is actually true. Many of Galileo’s
interlocutors did not know what was true, yet they certainly believed that they
did. (Some of his interlocutors—like many of those who would tamp down
dissent—were presumably not driven by belief, but merely by a wish to shore up
their power.) Too many would make themselves judge, jury and executioner of
certain concepts and conversations, while claiming to be the sole proprietors
of truth. They are engaging in a grand narcissism: they imagine themselves
as, for the first time in history, able to see everything. It is akin to
declaring themselves God.
What if SARS-CoV2 leaked from a lab?
What if there are long-term effects of mRNA vaccines?
What if Ivermectin is a safe and effective prophylaxis against, and
treatment for, COVID-19?
Unlike the questions that began this essay, the answers to these
questions are not yet resolved. But the very posing of them has been
considered—again—beyond the pale, unacceptable in polite company, outside the
Overton window.
Those of us who asked them, throughout 2020 and well into 2021, have been
called conspiracy theorists, and worse. Our intentions have been questioned. We
have been told to keep quiet. Some have self-censored, and others have been
brought to heel by Big Tech. The powers that be at Google, for instance, had an
official policy as of May 2021 which includes this line: “YouTube doesn’t allow
content that spreads medical misinformation that contradicts local health
authorities’ or the World Health Organization’s (WHO) medical information about
COVID-19.”
This policy fundamentally misunderstands science. Local health
authorities and the WHO can be wrong, as can we all. Being wrong is no crime
(although prevaricating to further your own agenda when lives are on the line
is tantamount to one). Shutting down the voices of
those who question your conclusions—while not criminal—is antithetical to science.
On Leap Day of 2020, in a tweet that remained up for months but has now
been deleted, the US Surgeon General was dismissive of those who thought that
masks were a useful tool in preventing the spread of COVID-19, chiding:
“Seriously people—STOP BUYING MASKS! They are NOT effective in preventing
general public from catching #Coronavirus.” The US Surgeon General has since
reversed course and we know that its line, as of Leap Day 2020, was based on
politics rather than science. Our understanding of the subtleties of airborne
vs. aerosol transmission may even cause a re-evaluation of mask policy in the
near term—re-evaluating what we understand is to be expected, as new data come
in.
What’s a thinking person to do?
Additionally, there has been clear evidence since Spring 2020 that
outdoor transmission of Covid is incredibly rare, yet public policy has barely
begun to catch up to this reality in Spring 2021. Meanwhile, those of us who
have been masking indoors in public spaces longer than almost anyone else, but
have not worn masks outdoors, have been glowered at, and sometimes yelled at,
for being irresponsible. We are accused of not following the science, when in
fact we are doing exactly what the actual science suggests.
When scientific thinking and a careful analysis of the
scientific literature leads to a different conclusion than the declarations of
the authorities, what path does #followthescience suggest? Science does not operate by
authority, but #followthescience is being used as a bludgeon to silence people
into compliance. Freedom of expression is required if science is to function.
Those who are engaging in silencing are doing neither science, nor humanity,
any favours.
YouTube’s official “COVID-19 medical misinformation policy” further
prohibits any claims that Ivermectin is an effective treatment for COVID-19.
This despite abundant evidence that Ivermectin is an effective treatment for
COVID-19, including from countries where it was already in widespread prophylactic
use against other pathogens.
If the efficacy of Ivermectin in treating COVID-19, suggested by many
peer-reviewed scientific papers, is borne out, YouTube will be revealed to have
been playing a very dangerous game indeed. How much health—individual and
economic—will be sacrificed globally on this altar? It’s censorship in
science’s clothing. Look closely, and you will find that this has little to do
with science. A censor wearing a lab coat is still a censor, and censorship is
fundamentally incompatible with science.
Furthermore, even if Ivermectin proves to be little help against
COVID-19, the game being played by those who stand opposed to free expression
is still dangerous. Policies like that of YouTube, which quash discussion and
silence debate, pretend to be pro-science, but they are the opposite. This is a new orthodoxy stamping out heterodoxy, yet again.
We need freedom of expression because what we
currently believe is true, just or moral may change. We might be wrong.
In light of history, to imagine elsewise is the height
of hubris.
We used to know this at a societal level. ….
COVID Tweet of the Week:
COVID Conspiracy Fare:
Beijing’s useful idiots: Science journals have
encouraged and enforced a false Covid narrative
This acceptance is one more
sign of the changing political climate as suddenly it is deemed permissible to
discuss the possibility that the virus causing havoc around the world might have
emerged from a laboratory. Petrovsky has had to endure what he calls “the
legitimacy” of his paper as a peer-reviewed publication being denied for a
critical 12 months — and he is far from alone. “I have heard all too many tales
from other academics who have been equally frustrated in getting their
manuscripts dealing with research into the origins of the virus published,”
… Only now is acceptance
emerging that the science establishment colluded to dismiss the lab leak
hypothesis as a conspiracy theory, assisted by prominent experts with clear
conflicts of interest, patsy politicians and a pathetic media that mostly
failed to do its job. And yet, at the heart of this scandal lie some of the
world’s most influential science journals.
… “The game seems to be for
Nature and The Lancet to rush non-peer revised correspondences to set the tone
and then delay critical papers and responses.”
Quinn: There Are No
Solutions - Part Two
The boldness and extremeness
of their actions since the Fall of 2019 seem out of character with their usual
shrouded machinations behind the scenes, where the public is ignorant of their
actions. Something broke within the debt saturated financial system and Powell
was ordered to restart QE and start reducing interest rates to fend off
disaster. In a fascinating coincidence, Event 201, a pandemic simulation, was
conducted on October 18 in New York City, jointly run by The Johns Hopkins
Center for Health Security, World Economic Forum, and Bill & Melinda Gates
Foundation. The four-year coup attempt by the Deep State against Trump was
floundering, with their pathetic last gasp impeachment farce in January 2020.
The weaponization of the
Chinese bio-weapon lab virus into a global pandemic narrative accomplished
numerous objectives for the Deep State. It provided cover for the Federal
Reserve to funnel trillions into the pockets of the criminal Wall Street cabal
and their billionaire clientele. It provided the means for Democrat governors
and mayors to use it as an excuse to allow mass mail-in voting in order to
fraudulently steal the election. Destroying the economy through unnecessary
worthless lockdowns and blaming it on Trump gave the Democrats a further
impetus to steal the election. Convincing the entire nation masking and
lockdowns stopped the spread (they did not) allowed the ruling class to
exercise tyrannical authoritarian un-Constitutional mandates with little to no
push back from the masses – giving them the confidence to push further.
Cases and deaths were
plummeting before vaccines were rolled out in any quantity, but the media
mouthpieces and lying politicians will credit the jab for decline. Using
propaganda fear, convincing the masses cowering in your basement was brave,
using their captured media to lie about “being in this together” as our rulers
flaunted their own lockdown dictates, creating social unrest based on the false
narrative of systematic racism, forcing people to be scared and suspicious of
each other, and pitting families and friends against each other based on
falsehoods, has accomplished the mission of tearing the fabric of our society.
And now for the coup de grace – forced vaccinations with an experimental
untested DNA altering concoction for a virus with a 99.8% survival rate.
The immune systems of all
but the sickliest are sufficient to fight off this virus and cheap, effective,
and safe treatments like ivermectin and hydroxychloroquine have been
scientifically proven to successfully defeat this virus. Watching scientists
and doctors declare these treatments dangerous and ineffective, with Big Tech
censoring anyone dissenting from this narrative, tells you how corrupted the
medical and media industries have become. Science is never settled. “No
scientist ever believes that he has the final answer or the ultimate truth on
anything.” – Carroll Quigley
Ed Curtin: What I Know and
Don’t Know about SARS-CoV-2 Virus
After fifteen months of
assiduous reading, study, observation, and research, I have come to some
conclusions about what is called COVID-19.
I would like to emphasize that I have done this work obsessively since
it seemed so important. I have consulted
information and arguments across all media, corporate and alternative,
academic, medical, books, etc. I have
consulted with researchers around the world.
I have read the websites of the CDC, the World Health Organization, and
government and non-government health organizations. In other words, I have left no stone
unturned, despite the overt or covert political leanings of the sources. I have done this as a sociologist and writer,
not as a medical doctor, although many of my sources have been medical doctors
and medical studies.
My succinct conclusions
follow without links to sources since I am not trying to persuade anyone of
anything but just stating for the public record what I have concluded. Life is short. I am going to say it now.
·
I know that vast numbers of
people have been hypnotized by fear,
threats, and bribes to accept the corporate mainstream media’s version of COVID-19. I have concluded that many
millions are moving in a trance state and do not know this. They have been
induced into this state by a well-organized, very sophisticated propaganda campaign that has drawn on the human fear of death and
disease. Those behind this have no doubt
studied the high incidence of hypochondriasis in the general population and the
fear of an invisible “virus” in societies where belief in God and the spiritual
invisible has been replaced by faith in science. Knowing their audience well, they have
concocted a campaign of fear and confusion to induce obedience.
·
I do not know but suspect
that those who have been so hypnotized tend to be mainly members of the middle
to the upper classes, those who have invested so much belief in the system.
This includes the highly schooled.
·
I know that to lockdown
hundreds of millions of healthy people, to insist they wear useless masks, to
tell them to avoid human contacts, to destroy the economic lives of regular
people have created vast suffering that was meant to teach people a lesson
about who was in control and that they better revise their understanding of
human relations to adjust to the new digital unreality that the producers of
this masquerade are trying to put in place of flesh and blood, face to face
human reality.
·
I know that the PCR test
invented by Kary Mullis cannot test for the alleged virus or any virus and
therefore all the numbers of cases and deaths are based on nothing. They are
conjured out of thin air in a massive act of magic. I know that the belief that
it can so test began with the unscientific PCR Corona protocol created by
Christian Drosten in Germany in January 2020 that became the standard method
for testing for SARS-CoV-2 worldwide. I
am sure this was preplanned and part of a high-level conspiracy. This
protocol set the cycle threshold (amplification) at 45 which could only result
in false positive results. These were then called
cases: An act of fraud on a massive scale.
·
I do not know if the alleged
virus has ever been isolated in the sense of being purified or detached from
everything else aside from being cultured in a lab. Therefore, I do not know if
the virus exists.
·
I know that the experimental
mRNA “vaccines” that are being pushed on everyone are not traditional vaccines but
dangerous experiments whose long-term consequences are unknown. And I know that Moderna says its messenger
RNA (mRNA) non-vaccine “vaccine” functions “like an operating system on a
computer” and that Dr. Robert Malone, inventor of mRNA vaccine technology, says
that the lipid nanoparticles from the injections travel throughout the body and
settle in large quantities in multiple organs where the spike protein, being biologically active,
can cause massive damage and
that the FDA has known this. Additionally, I know that tens of thousands of
people have
suffered adverse effects from these injections and many thousands have died from them and
that these figures are greatly underestimated due to the reporting
systems. I know that with this number of
casualties in the past these experimental shots would have been stopped long
ago or never started. That they have not,
therefore, convinces me that a radically evil agenda is under way whose goal is
harm not health because those in charge
know what I know and much more.
·
I do not know where this
alleged virus originated, if it exists.
·
I know that from the start
of this crisis, there was a concerted effort across the world to deny access to proven effective
treatments such as hydroxychloroquine,
steroids, ivermectin in a planned effort to vaccinate as many people as
possible. This alone reveals an agenda centered not on health but on getting as many people
as possible to submit to being vaccinated and controlled. Social control is the name of this deadly game.
·
I know that those pushing
these vaccines – The World Economic Forum, the World Health Organization, the
Gates Foundation, the Rockefeller Foundation, etc. – have a long history of wanting to drastically
reduce the world’s population and that their promotion of eugenics under various names is very well
known. I am convinced that the totally untested mRNA-type “gene therapy” is the
key to their plan for population reduction.
·
I do not know if they will
succeed.
·
I know they must be
resisted.
·
I do not know why so many good people cannot see through this evil. I can only attribute it to having been
seduced by a massive hypnotic propaganda campaign that has appealed to their
deepest fears and will result in those fears being realized because they thought
they were free. It is a great tragedy.
·
I know that all the
statistics about cases and deaths “from” COVID-19 have been manipulated to create a fake
pandemic. One of the most obvious
proofs of this is the alleged disappearance of the flu and deaths from
influenza. Only someone in a trance could fail to understand the absurd logic
in the argument that this was the result of mask wearing when at the same time
the air-born COVID-19 spread like wildfire until that stopped precipitously in
January 2021 when a tiny number of people had been vaccinated.
·
I know there has been barely any excess mortality
throughout all this.
·
I do not know where it will
all end but hope against hope the growing opposition to this fraud will grow
and defeat it despite the organized censorship that is underway against
dissenting opinions. I know that when organized censorship on this scale takes
place those behind it are afraid of the revelation of the truth. A simple
understanding of history confirms this.
·
I know that the temporary
reprieve the authorities have granted to their subjects will be followed by further
restrictions on fundamental freedoms,
the corona virus lockdowns will likely return, “vaccine” boosters will be promoted, and the World Economic Forum’s push for a Great Reset with a Fourth
Industrial Revolution will lead to the marriage
of artificial intelligence, cyborgs, digital technology, and biology with the
USA and other countries continuing to slip into a new form of fascist control
unless people across the world stand up and resist in great numbers. I am
heartened by signs that this resistance is growing.
·
Finally, I know if the
authoritarian forces win the immediate battle, someone will write a book with a
title like that of Milton Mayer’s classic, They Thought They Were Free. It will
be censored. Perhaps it will first be shared via samizdat. But in the end, after much suffering and
death, the truth about this evil agenda will prevail and there will be much
weeping and gnashing of teeth.
GeoPolitical Fare:
What Planet Will Our Children and Grandchildren Inherit?
Escobar: Empire
Of Clowns Versus Yellow Peril
It requires major suspension of disbelief to consider the G7, the
self-described democracy’s most exclusive club, as relevant to the Raging
Twenties. Real life dictates that even accounting for the inbuilt structural
inequality of the current world system the G7’s economic output barely
registers as 30% of the global total. Cornwall was at best an embarrassing
spectacle – complete with a mediocrity troupe impersonating “leaders” posing
for masked elbow bump photo ops while on a private party with the 95-year-old
Queen of England, everyone was maskless and merrily mingling about in an
apotheosis of “shared values” and “human rights”. Quarantine on arrival, masks
enforced 24/7 and social distancing of course is only for the plebs.
The G7 final communique is the proverbial ocean littered with platitudes
and promises. But it does contain a few nuggets. Starting with ‘Build Back
Better’ – or B3 – showing up in the title. B3 is now official code for both The
Great Reset and the New Green Deal. Then there’s the Yellow Peril remixed, with
the “our values” shock troops “calling on China to respect human rights and
fundamental freedoms” with a special emphasis on Xinjiang and Hong Kong. The
story behind it was confirmed to me by a EU diplomatic source, a realist (yes,
there are some in Brussels). All hell broke loose inside the – exclusive – G7
room when the Anglo-American axis, backed by spineless Canada, tried to ramrod
the EU-3 plus Japan into an explicit condemnation of China in the final
communiqué over the absolute bogus concentration camp “evidence” in Xinjiang.
In contrast to politicized accusations of “crimes against humanity”, the
best analysis of what’s really going on in Xinjiang has been published by the
Qiao collective. Germany, France and Italy – Japan was nearly invisible – at
least showed some spine. Internet was shut off to the room during the really
harsh “dialogue”. Talk about realism – a true depiction of “leaders”
vociferating inside a bubble. The dispute essentially pitted Biden – actually
his handlers – against Macron, who insisted that the EU-3 would not be dragged
into the logic of a Cold War 2.0. That was something that Merkel and Mario
‘Goldman Sachs’ Draghi could easily agree upon.
Kunstler: The Three-way
Squeeze
Here is why the “Joe Biden” regime only has a few months to live: it is
caught in a squeeze between some of the greatest lies in world history, and
they’re all unraveling now. Anyway, “Joe Biden” is not really functioning as
president of the US; he’s just the doddering, photo-op front-man for a kind of
politburo centered around Barack Obama, and that group lives in terror of being
found-out, which it will be, despite its capture of the traditional news and
social media.
Big Lie No. 1 is actually a whole bundle of lies surrounding the Covid-19
pandemic. …
…
Big Lie No. 2 is that “Joe Biden” won the Nov 3, 2020 presidential
election. That colossal scam, which the Democratic party advertised well in advance,
and accomplished via blatant mail-in ballot fraud and computer voting machine
tweaking, was never properly adjudicated — despite media claims that court
cases were dismissed on the basis of evidence, which was not so. …
…
The third “Big Lie” is that the US economy is “recovering” from the
Covid-19 disruptions. The US economy has been a Potemkin village since 2008,
held together with the baling wire and duct tape of Federal Reserve money games
and, more so lately, US government fiscal recklessness — i.e., spending vast
amounts of borrowed money on direct payments to broke citizens, broke
businesses, and, apparently an equal number of outright crooks who just gamed
the various bailout categories.
Ian Welsh: Democratic
Congress Members Want What Republicans Want
Biden had a good economic plan, but it has been watered down to basically
worthless, and certainly won’t do much for the environment.
The test for Biden’s sincerity is simple: the President has vast
executive power. Is the President using it. Biden has vast power to forbid
fracking; he didn’t. He has allowed vast increases in oil pumping. He could
cancel or reduce student loans on his say-so. He has not.
…
Republicans do things Democrats want: they cut taxes for rich people like
Nancy Pelosi and most Senators and their families, for example. They bomb brown
people. The hurt poor people.
The Democrats who are in power like all these things. They tell you they don’t, then when they have power, they reverse hardly any of it, and indeed, add to the pile of evil.
Orwellian Fare:
Greenwald: Questions About
the FBI's Role in 1/6 Are Mocked Because the FBI Shapes Liberal Corporate Media
The FBI has been manufacturing and directing terror plots and criminal
rings for decades. But now, reverence for security state agencies reigns.
Whitney Webb: Who Is A
“Terrorist” In Biden’s America?
Johnstone: Who Wants To
Hear My Crazy, Kooky Conspiracy Theory About 1/6?
… And you can call me a crazy tinfoil hat wearing conspiracy theorist if
you like, but I can’t help wondering if these two stories might perhaps be
related somehow. If maybe, just maybe, the FBI’s suspicious behavior before and
after the Capitol riot has something to do with the agenda to implement
authoritarian measures designed to stomp out any revolutionary impulses that
might emerge in an increasingly impoverished and oppressed population.
If maybe, just maybe, the opaque government agencies who run America in
alliance with the plutocratic class are deeply afraid of the rising discontent
of the masses who greatly outnumber them.
If maybe, just maybe, the fact that the mainstream narrative about the
Capitol riot has been full of plot holes, outright falsehoods and narrative
spin from the very beginning and has been used to advance preexisting agendas
from day one is a bit odd.
If maybe, just maybe, QAnon being an obvious psyop should have been a bit
of a hint.
If maybe, just maybe, the fact that the incoming Biden administration had
already been working on adding new domestic terror policies before January 6
should raise a few eyebrows.
If maybe, just maybe, the fact that Biden has often boasted that he was
the original author of the Patriot Act is not irrelevant to the timing of all
this.
If maybe, just maybe, the fact that the Capitol riot was immediately used
as an excuse to target the left should have been seen as a warning of things to
come.
If maybe, just maybe, the leftists who jumped aboard the CNN narrative
about the Capitol “coup” in the hope that it could be used to rally the left
were misguided and should now adopt a more critical posture.
If maybe, just maybe, the agenda to sustain an unsustainable economic
model and an unsustainable empire is expected to require a few more screw turns
than the public is likely to accept voluntarily, and precautions are being put
in place to prevent a meaningful backlash.
If maybe, just maybe, there was an agenda to implement frightening new
“domestic terror” laws to keep Americans from mobilizing against their rulers,
and an excuse was cooked up to manufacture support for that agenda.
The Wizard Of
Oz: The Dark Reality That The Deep State Hides From The World
Nothing is ever as it seems, especially when it comes to the modern world
in which everyone lives. “There Are No Democracies Or Autocracies, Only
Governments”, I wrote last week, and they're all comprised of permanent
military, intelligence, and diplomatic bureaucracies, or “deep states”, which
handle matters largely considered (whether rightly or wrongly) to be beyond the
responsibility of the average citizen. This power structure is allied with
influential perception managers in the Mainstream Media and the education
system in order to hide a very dark reality from everyone that's much more
nefarious than what the Wizard of Oz hid from Dorothy. Supporters might say
that “it's better this way” since “society needs to be controlled” whereas
critics claim that this is highly manipulative and against people's fundamental
human rights. Whichever side of the divide one falls on, there's no denying
that the real world is much worse than the average person thought.
All people across the world are strongly encouraged by their governments
to go about their daily lives and behave as economically productive and
socially responsible citizens. To this end, they're distracted with “bread and
circuses” by being kept above the minimum subsistence level at the very least
and pressured to focus more on their personal pursuit of happiness than
everyone else's. The exception of course is those who show a sincere interest
in how the world works and are considered by the so-called “powers that be” as
“ideologically reliable” after years of relevant indoctrination in the higher
education system. This elite category of citizens learns how the world really
operates after getting to peek behind the curtain ahead of actually getting to
play a direct role of some sort in managing this secret state of affairs.
Sometimes average people learn about the truth on their own or through
whistleblowers, but it mostly remains obscured.
The system upholds itself by obsessively discrediting those intrepid
enough to research its inner workings and publicly share their findings as
so-called “conspiracy theorists”, “foreign agents”, or whatever else. That's not
to say that there's no such thing as factually unsubstantiated speculation that
can legitimately be described as a conspiracy theory or that foreign powers
aren't infiltrating society through actual agents and even those of so-called
“influence” (the latter of which may not even be conscious of the role that
they're playing), but just to point out the techniques used to discredit those
who occasionally break through the “deep state's” informational firewall in
order to enlighten the masses about what's really going on.
…
The IoT [Internet of Things] will facilitate the “Fourth Industrial
Revolution” (4IR), which will totally transform mankind's economic-industrial
relations considering the increased dependence on autonomous systems. This
project was already proceeding apace prior to the COVID-19 pandemic, but the
virus (again, whether or not one believes it's real, fake, or exaggerated)
served as the pretext to accelerate its rollout across the world in the most
dramatic way possible via what's now widely regarded as the “Great Reset” (GR).
…
Regardless of the semantics that one uses, there's also no denying that
mankind itself might be somewhat genetically different in this dark future than
it presently is as a result of the experimental gene therapies that are being
pushed upon hundreds of millions of people under the pretext of serving as
vaccines against COVID-19. There are high hopes that mRNA technology might
truly achieve miracles like curing cancer if responsibly utilized, but such
technology requires many more years of testing before it has a credible chance
of changing the world for the better with the lowest amount of risk possible
The COVID-19 pandemic has been exploited by Big Pharma in order to test these
treatments in real-time on the largest number of people in order to accelerate
this technology's development considering the competitive context of the New
Cold War.
…
The other dark reality hidden from the public eye by the “deep state's”
perception management operations pertains to the speculative campaign of
“depopulation”. There's no denying that there are some influential forces who
are in favor of this for ideological (“green”) and “pragmatic”
(“overpopulation”) reasons (especially in the context of the unfolding 4IR/GR),
but it's unclear whether the ongoing mass vaccination of hundreds of millions
of people with experimental mRNA gene therapies is part of this, at least
directly. While nobody knows for sure what the affect will be on fertility, it
can reasonably be discounted that these treatments are meant to kill off many
people in the near future. After all, despite the 4IR/GR, the “deep state”
still requires a tax base and some human labor to build the “new economy's”
machines. Considering the fact that so many younger people have already been
vaccinated, it's unrealistic that they'd kill off their most promising labor
pool.
…
The COVID-19 pandemic ushered in what can be described as World War C, or
the full-spectrum paradigm-changing processes catalyzed by the world's
uncoordinated attempt to contain the virus (again, whether or not one believes
that it's real, fake, or exaggerated). All pre-existing trends are now being
accelerated and compressed, including the geopolitical, military,
economic-industrial, information-communication, healthcare (genetic
engineering), governmental (“socialist/”fascist”), and “green” (“depopulation”)
ones. This means that everyone is truly living in an unprecedented era of
history whereby literally everything about life as they know it will be
completely different within a decade. The very nature of international,
economic, civil-state, and even human-to-human relations is transforming at a
record pace, with folks either choosing to remain asleep like the “deep state”
wants or wake up and peacefully try to stop them if it's even at all still
possible to do so.
Tweets of the Week:
Joe Biden’s new
anti-terrorism initiative classifies “anarchist violent extremists”
that “oppose all forms of capitalism, corporate globalization, and governing
institutions, which are perceived as harmful to society” as “domestic violent
extremists.”
Other Fare:
Toni Morrison Hated 'Hamilton' So Much She Funded a Play About Lin-Manuel Miranda
CaitOz Excerpts of the Week[s]:
Learn enough about what’s happening in the world and
you realize that most people in your society have worldviews that are
completely and utterly wrong. This can seem
bold, perhaps even arrogant, but if most people weren’t deluded about the
world, the world wouldn’t be so fucked.
And it’s not that people are dumb; intelligence has
little to do with it. Some of the most intelligent people on earth promote the
same deluded worldviews as everyone else. The problem isn’t intellect, it’s
manipulation, and anyone can be manipulated no matter how smart they are. This
mass-scale manipulation is the result of wealthy people buying up narrative
influence in the form of media, political influence, think tanks, lobbying,
NGOs, etc, in conjunction with the mass-scale manipulations of the powerful
government agencies which are allied with them.
The powerful work to manipulate the way the general
public thinks, acts and votes to ensure that they remain in power. They pay
special attention to who the most influential people in our society are, which
is why the most prominent voices are so often the most delusional. There are
filters in place designed to keep anyone from rising to positions of influence
if they don’t support the consensus worldview promoted by the oligarchic
empire, and once they do rise to influence they are actively herded into echo
chambers which reinforce that worldview.
This is further exacerbated by the fact that the most
influential voices in a virulently capitalist society will be those who have
profited and benefited from the status quo. Of course they’re going to believe
the system is working fine; it treats them like royalty.
This is why you can’t defer to recognized authorities
when it comes to understanding your world; the system which selects and
installs those authorities is designed to serve the powerful, not to tell the
truth. The responsibility for understanding your world is yours, and yours
alone.
The fact that not one person in the press pool questioned or criticized Biden’s outrageous remarks tells you
everything you need to know about the western media and what its real function
is. This is further illustrated by the rest of the behavior of these odious
propagandists during the summit …. Western news media exists to funnel
propaganda into the minds of the public. It is controlled by plutocrats who
work in alliance with opaque government agencies to weave narratives about why
the US government needs to do the things it had already planned on doing
anyway. This gets more obvious by the day.
People tell me I should criticize Biden’s policies and
not his obvious mental decline, but a very
clear sign that the most powerful government on earth is not being run by its
elected officials is actually an extremely noteworthy fact that everyone should
be talking about. The only face more suitable for the US empire than a
sociopathic billionaire is a decrepit warmongering corporate whore with
dementia.
There is no reason to believe any investigation into
the Wuhan lab would not be heavily biased toward a pro-US narrative
and used to manufacture international agendas to smash China, and there is
every reason to believe it would be.
Have you ever wondered why the people indicted and
detained by the International Criminal Court are always from weaker
nations—overwhelmingly African—while far more deadly war criminals like George
W Bush and Tony Blair walk free? It’s because “international law” only exists
to the extent that there’s an international willingness and ability to enforce
it, and the US uses its military and economic might to keep the international
community mostly aligned with it
We see vapid nonsense attracting mountains of public
interest every day, so the idea that people
have no mental bandwidth for this story doesn’t hold water. While the belief
that the UFO narrative looks like some kind of military psyop is widely
accepted among the sort of people who’d be likely to read this article (I’ve
been saying it for a while now myself), skepticism toward suspicious US government claims
is not a very
widespread posture for people to hold in
the mainstream public. It seems pretty clear to me that the reason there’s not
as much public interest in this story as you’d expect is because it doesn’t fit
neatly into any of the little boxes that people have been trained to file news
into in this society. There’s no partisan angle to it, so it doesn’t appeal to
any of the egoic constructs to which the general public tends to hook
incendiary news stories. The likelihood of a news story going viral in our society has little to
do with its newsworthiness, its unusualness, or even whether or not it is
factually accurate. The single most likely factor in whether or not a news
story will have mass appeal is whether it appears to validate the worldview of
one of the two mainstream political factions.
….. This is why the partisan divide is the most heated
and contentious it’s ever been, while the actual behavior of each mainstream
party when it’s in power brings in only the most superficial of changes. The
oligarchs who own the political/media class desire the continuation of the
status quo upon which they have built their empire, but they also want to keep
the public as plugged in as possible to the partisan perspectives which
facilitate the propaganda that cages our minds.
The “Great Reset” is capitalism. Period. It’s capitalism doing the only thing it can ever and will ever do:
become more and more corrupt, create more and more inequality, funnel more and
more wealth to the ruling class, and get more and more oppressive and
exploitative. If you don’t see this, you don’t see any of it.
Other Excerpts of the Week[s]:
Ian Welsh: Hamas aren’t “good”
people, but they are freedom fighters defending their people, who suffer under
an apartheid system after having been ethnic cleansed out of most of their
homeland. They have killed fewer people than Israel, stolen fewer homes and not
conquered any countries with a native population and shoved the native
population into the dirt. Compared to Israel, or America (Libya, Iraq, Vietnam,
nukes, drone murders, rendition, etc, etc…) Hamas is a moral giant. Perhaps
they are only saved by their weakness, and would be as evil if they had more
power, but they don’t.
I have written elsewhere that probably 90%, or even 95%, of everything
that you know, or think that you know, or that you believe to be true about
history, is wrong. To state another way, if we were to take the
history of the entire world for the past 500 years and condense it into a
history book of 100 pages, a full 50 of those pages would be blank. That is the
extent of the world’s history that has been excised with a vengeance by our
International Cabal of Gangsters (ICG) who don’t want you to know. These
omissions mostly involve horrendous crimes against humanity committed by
Western Imperialists and the ICG. Of the remaining 50 pages, probably 45 are
false in whole or in part, photoshopped, whitewashed, sanitised, and with many
crucial and vital details omitted to confuse us and lead us in wrong directions
and to wrong conclusions.
It feels wrong to agree with
Trump on anything, nevertheless, in this case he is right. The
dollar has already lost 98% of its value over the past 100 years due to the
effects of inflation. And yet it's still legal tender and a functioning currency.
Bitcoin recently lost 50% of its value in 10 days. It took ten years to reach
$1 trillion in market cap, and ten days to lose $1 trillion in market cap.
It's important to remember that the crypto trade is inherently part of
the patented Zerohedge fake inflation trade. The strategy of brainwashing
useful idiots into buying up your assets so you can sell at a massive profit.
You have to wonder how long their base of morons can keep this up.
Satirical Fare:
Republicans
Propose Vaccination-By-Mail Program
In Honor Of
Pride Month, Biden Announces He Will Also Sniff Men's Hair
