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Sunday, February 6, 2022

2022-02-06

 *** denotes well-worth reading in full at source (even if excerpted extensively here)

Regular Fare:

The Fed Is Trapped

The Fed is trapped in its own web. It does not have much room to raise rates without major complications in the financial market and in the economy. Even if it finally delivers on tapering and starts raising rates, it won’t get any further than it did back in the last rate hike (2015–18) and balance sheet shrinking (2017–19) cycles.



In any case I have an extremely strong view on the Fed in 2022:
  • Fewer hikes. One in March for sure. Almost certainly only 25 bps. Maybe they go 50 bps, but that would be out of character and would diminish the chances of a May hike. If we get 25 in March, then possibly 25 more in May. After that, I think it is a wait and see approach.
  • The Fed knows more about how the economy responds to rate hikes than they do about QE or QT. There is typically a three to six month lag between the hikes and when it is felt in the economy. So, they’ll hike and then wait and see and let the data develop.
  • The Fed knows that hikes are ineffective and maybe even counterproductive on supply side issues. Whether it is supply chains or underinvestment in traditional energy production, there is little good that a rate hike does to fix those issues.
  • There is a big stigma attached to hiking and then having to cut. The Fed does NOT want to go through a series of rapid hikes only to find it necessary to cut. The onslaught of the Coronavirus forced the Fed’s hand in 2020. They can accept an outside event as a reason to reverse course, but hiking “too much” causing the economy to slow “too much” resulting in a cut (without a major shock) would be highly embarrassing.
  • Hikes likely flatten curves. Unless everyone gets on the extreme growth bandwagon, it seems likely that hikes will flatten curves, which isn’t the signal the Fed wants to send.





Kelton: It's $oo,ooo,ooo,ooo,ooo Big
The "national debt" hit $30 trillion.

.... There are so many problems with the dominant way of talking about the outstanding stock of US Treasuries—aka “the national debt.”

... But it’s a heavy lift, especially when prominent democratic figures lean into the hysteria by warning Americans that a “debt crisis is coming.”

Still, the debate has shifted in favor of MMT. It’s less common to hear mainstream economists talk about soaring interest rates driven by bond vigilantes or national insolvency. And it’s more common for people to understand that government deficits supply the non-government sector with net financial assets—i.e. the government’s red ink is our collective black ink.




Other Charts: (source links: one, two, )





Bubble Fare:


Yesterday the monthly ADP private jobs report was a total fiasco. -300k job LOSSES versus 200k expected job gains. This was a massive miss even by EconoDunce standards. It was off by more than a minus sign. It's hard to be that incompetent and still keep your job, but economists excel at it. If it's one thing their continuing employment proves is that none of their theories are credible. 

I personally have long stopped guessing the monthly BLS jobs report which comes out tomorrow. There have been many pundits making excuses for why the January jobs number could be a disaster similar to ADP. However, we must bear in mind that this post-pandemic macro environment is a con man's paradise. All of these "unique" factors make it very easy to bury the end of the cycle in broad daylight.



Despite the strong two-day rally to finish the month, January was the worst start to the year for the Nasdaq (down 19% peak to trough) since 2008.

And if not for that two-day rally, it would have been the worst start for the Nasdaq ever – and ever, as they say, is a very long time.

As a result, you might have thought that the decline would have made some progress in normalizing valuations but you would have been wrong.

The median stock in the S&P 500 Index is still roughly 20% more expensive than it was pre-pandemic and 70% more expensive than at the peak of the DotCom Mania in 2000.

........ So if we are now seeing another bust in the most speculative segments of the stock market, it would appear it still has quite a ways to go.



COVID-19 notes:

Lethal mutagenesis as an antiviral strategy

... Although the antivirals ribavirin and favipiravir were developed with this strategy in mind, the recent development of the much more potent molnupiravir to treat SARS-CoV-2 highlights the unknown risks to the host that this strategy entails.

.... There is a gap in our knowledge in scaling short-term lab-based assays (using bacteria, animal cells, and animal models) for mutagenic activity with long-term risk to human health. Mutagens that are incorporated during cellular DNA synthesis are problematic for a developing fetus (where cells are undergoing rapid division), male germline cells (which continue to divide throughout life), and cancer risk (where the small fraction of human cells that are dividing have the potential to incorporate a mutation that could contribute to cancer development). 


(not just) for the ESG crowd:

Climate change has likely begun to suffocate the world’s fisheries


Eric Nuttall: Making the case for an oil bull market that lasts five or six more years

The world is hurtling towards an oil supply crisis. Starved of cash flow during a seven-year bear market, the oil industry has been unable to sufficiently invest in new productive capacity that both satisfies growth in demand while offsetting base declines. Investment spending peaked in 2014 and has remained low since then. The last of the major projects sanctioned in an era of US$100 WTI has been brought online and the cupboard of new projects, so to speak, is now bare. Historically, spending would have strongly rebounded along with better corporate cash flows due to the recent rise in oil prices, yet what is unique in this cycle are the gating factors of environmental, social and corporate governance (ESG) pressures coupled with shareholders’ demand for dividends and share buybacks over production growth.


Fossil fuel industry groups always emphasize how many jobs rely on oil and gas drilling. A new study shows they’re lying.



Other / Fun Fare:

UN Habitat: Global Cities Ranking Draft REPORT Feb 2022





Contrarian Perspectives

Extra [i.e. Controversial] Fare:

*** denotes well-worth reading in full at source (even if excerpted extensively here)


Regular Fare:

Doctorow: Money is power
A political economy parable (with a side of environmental racism).

This may strike you as incredibly obvious, but if so, you're probably not an economist. The neoliberal economic project over the past 40 years has been to assert that an economic system that benefits the rich is also the fairest economic system, and that any attempt to intervene to produce a more even wealth distribution pollutes our economy with "politics."

This claim to objectivity is a familiar rhetorical cheat.



Unsustainability / Climate Chaos / Collapse Fare:

Carey King – Macroeconomic Modelling of Energy Efficiency: Implications For Reducing Greenhouse Gas Emissions
This is something very basic we need to understand if we wish to stop climate change. Simple solutions are often simple because they are wrong. Energy efficiency will lead to a reduction of energy consumption is one of these.



For a time, it was barely economic to drill shale wells because the margins of drilling in such poor rock was slightly better than what you could make on interest due to quantitative easing policy. Most of the shale companies however, were simply Ponzi schemes and the shale industry lost billions as a whole. But the result of this loss of capital was record production. Needless to say, Wall Street figured it out eventually that they were not making money and so the industry has been capital starved. That is one problem, the other is that there really aren’t many more drilling locations. All the good places have been drilled up


How Brazil’s government is turning public land private, clearing the way for deforestation



Climate Vids:

of Permafrost feedbacks at current temperatures and the longterm threat of up to 20 degrees of warming if CO2 is not removed (22:00... watch at least the first 7min)


Related Tweets and Quotes:

Quicho: we are collectively biased towards non-disruptive and incremental change, and against the radical, queer, or truly revolutionary that threatens the so-called “natural order” of biological sex, family values, and economic growth. So-called realism has trapped us in an interminable present, where even the most daring innovations fail to envision a better and more equitable world — and in fact depend on the failure of our imagination for their successes….

Bates: In psychology this is called normalcy bias. To some extent it involves optimism bias and mind-over-reality denialism, but as we progress into the Anthropocene more of us will see, and sooner or later have to acknowledge, the likelihood of a very different future. Wildfires, floods, hurricanes and plagues will dim our utopian hopes. The inertia of normalcy will be broken.

Cranfield: "though it is already very bad, it will only fulfill its catastrophic potential many lifetimes from now."
Yet more disastrous misinformation, a mistake spanning many lifetimes. The kids know we're doomed but the adults are so slow.

Cranfield: Thousands of scientists, journalists and activists display all the signs of firmly believing that denial IS the solution, that somehow progress can be made whilst inhabiting an alternate reality constructed by a political and economic governmental agency.

Fenrir: The way mass extinctions work is that the conditions that support the base of the food chain fail. Organisms that depend on the base then cease to exist. Multiple coextinctions then occur in mid-order seasonal species. 
As we are apex omnivores we will suddenly (as soon as this NH Spring) find that regional multispecies collapse will have rendered previously fertile regions barren. By midsummer CO2-e of over 660ppm will push mid-continental temps above 50°C.
2021 saw British Columbia’s grain crop decline by 96% This year is forecast as an El Niño. We will see entire regions without any insects. A collapse of subterranean fungi. Permanent die off of multiple bird species. In short a collapse of the food chain.
And it all starts here, with a breakdown in the stable weather systems of the Holocene & their replacement with whiplash weather. We crossed the tipping point in June 2019. All previous mass extinctions took 3-5 years. Mass extinction is exponential.



COVID Fare:

I am increasingly coming across too much excellent COVID-related content (with contrarian evidence-based points-of-view!!) to link to it all
Read everything by eugyppius; el gato malo; Mathew Crawford; Steve Kirsch; Jessica Rose!
Paul Alexander, Berenson, Chudov, Lyons-Weiler, Toby Rogers are also go-to mainstays; a list to which I have added Andreas Oehler, Joey Smalley (aka Metatron) and, Julius Ruechel; Denninger worth staying on top of too for his insights, and especially his colorful language; and Norman Fenton; new addition: Marc Girardot; I will of course continue to post links to key Peter McCullough material, and Geert Vanden Bossche, and Robert Malone, and Martin Kulldorff, and Jay Bhattacharya, and Sucharit Bhakdi, and Pierre Kory, and Harvey Risch, and Michael Yeadon, and John Ioannidis, and Paul Marik, and Tess Lawrie, and Zelenko, and Dolores Cahill, and [local prof] Byram Bridle, and Ryan Cole, and…
but going forward, my linking to material by those mainstays mentioned above will be reduced to key excerpts and/or essential posts

Detailed analysis of deaths in each German state reveals substantially higher excess death in 2021 since mass COVID vaccination has taken place compared to 2020, the year of the unmitigated disease.

The German Federal Statistical Office (Destatis) acknowledges that excess deaths in 2021 are higher than previous years (including 2020) but says it’s not possible to determine exactly why1.

In amongst a few potential explanations, there is no mention whatsoever of the largest medical intervention in human history with an experimental treatment. With that kind of bias, it’s not surprising that they can’t think what the cause might be…



There is a clear elevation of all-cause mortality in the 25-44 age bracket coinciding with Covid-19 showing up. There is also an elevation in the other age brackets, by the way. All-cause is just that – while some of this is undoubtedly Covid-19, policy-driven deaths are also in there. Suicides, ODs and similar were and are up materially over the 2019 numbers, and these are also in that figure. Dead is dead, I remind you; why is not material to either the dead person or their loved ones. But what we do know, by simple comparison with other age brackets, is that most of it wasn’t Covid. How do we know this? Because the winter of 2020 came and went, where a huge number of older people died as a result of Covid-19 and during most of it there were no jabs available to anyone. This age group saw a small – measurable, but small – bump during that time.


We thus know that Covid simply doesn’t kill people in this age group all that frequently — and, in fact, the mitigations killed far more people than the disease. But then….. Joe Biden’s administration and private employers started issuing threats: Take the jab or get fired. And…. there were a lot of jabs given to people who would have otherwise not taken them, most of which came after the big summer spike of Delta cases. There was an exact correlation in the rise of deaths with the threats. Remember that Biden (and many others) crowed that threats work.

Well, they sure do work, by the data: Threats are deadly and they did in fact kill. Is this proof that the jabs killed those people? No, but its damn good evidence. What’s worse, however, is that post the spike the death rate did not go back to baseline among this age group — and now, it STILL hasn’t. In other words the intervention was worthless and might actually be enhancing infections


Slide by slide - all criteria assessed.


Alexander: Drs. S Sigoloff, P Chambers, and T Long. Department of Defense whistleblowers downloaded a massive trove of unclassified data (to download the Excel file see the link “Data from the DMED

Drs. Samuel Sigoloff, Peter Chambers, and Theresa Long. Department of Defense whistleblowers who downloaded a massive trove of unclassified data (to download the Excel file see the link “Data from the Defense Medical Epidemiology Database (DMED) shows”) on the incidence of various diseases before and after the onset of illegal forced genetic COVID-19 vaccination of our military forces.

much, much, much longer list, starts with:
  • Total Number of Diseases & Injuries Reported By Year (Ambulatory) down 3% (this is basically a control for the data set, and contradicts the “data corruption” explanation).
  • Total Number of Diseases & Injuries Reported By Year (Hospitalization) up 37%
  • Total Number of Diseases of the Nervous System By Year up 968%
  • Total Number of Malignant Neuroendocrine Tumor Reports By Year up 276%
  • Total Number of Acute Myocardial Infarct Reports By Year up 343%
  • Total Number of Acute Myocarditis Reports By Year up 184%
  • Total Number of Acute Pericarditis Reports By Year up 70%
  • Total Number of Pulmonary Embolism Reports By Year up 260%
  • Total Number of Congenital Malformations Reports By Year up 87%
  • Total Number of Nontraumatic Subarachnoid Hemorrage Reports By Year up 227%
  • .................



In a little-known Reuters story that garnered almost no attention in the corporate media, Dutch insurer Aegon revealed its third quarter, 2021 life insurance payouts skyrocketed 258% compared to third quarter, 2020 payouts. The difference, of course, is found in covid vaccines. In 2020, vaccines weren’t yet available, so payouts for Aegon only reached $31 million. But after three quarters of aggressive vaccinations throughout 2021, the death benefit payouts hit $111 million, an increase of 258%.

From Reuters via Yahoo Finance:
Dutch insurer Aegon, which does two-thirds of its business in the United States, said its claims in the Americas in the third quarter were $111 million, up from $31 million a year earlier. U.S. insurers MetLife and Prudential Financial also said life insurance claims rose. South Africa’s Old Mutual used up more of its pandemic provisions to pay claims and reinsurer Munich Re raised its 2021 estimate of COVID-19 life and health claims to 600 million euros from 400 million.
Insurance companies are slowly coming to realize the truth about covid vaccines, even as the complicit, murderous mainstream tries to cover up the accelerating deaths. The death signals now emerging in the finances of insurance companies can’t simply be swept under the rug, and given that a 258% increase was recorded for Q3, 2021, it begs the obvious question: How much worse will this be for Q4, 2021? Or Q1, 2022?

On any “normal” (pre-covid) day in America, about 7,700 people die. If those deaths rise by 100%, that means an extra 7,700 people are dying each day. Multiply that over one year, and it’s an additional 2.8 million deaths. Note this is for merely a 100% increase in deaths.

Aegon is reporting a 258% increase in payouts on life insurance policies. Although Aegon doesn’t insure the entire country, obviously, this data point should be raising alarms among those people paying attention. If we start to consistently see something like a 200% increase in all-cause mortality, that would mean an extra 15,000+ people are dying each day in America. That’s a vaccine holocaust playing out in real time.

Truth be told, we’re probably at that point right now. The data sets just haven’t caught up yet with the reality of what’s happening in February, 2022. Cancer death rates have almost certainly doubled in 2021 and are headed for even higher numbers in 2022, but the cancer industry — dominated by pharma interests — will of course bury the numbers as long as possible to avoid anyone asking questions of why so many people are dying from cancer all of a sudden.

(The answer is obvious: It’s the mRNA vaccines.)



... A few key observations:
  • Mortality worsened in 2021 vs. 2020 despite widespread vaccinations
  • A spike in Mortality among younger, working-age individuals coincided with vaccine mandates
  • The spike in younger deaths peaked in Q3 2021 when Covid deaths were extremely low (but rising into the end of September)

Dr. Marty Makary, spearheading a team at Johns Hopkins to do the work that the CDC and NIH refuse to do, showed that 99% of unvaccinated people known to have Covid infections had robust “natural immunity” that did not diminish for at least 650 days.


Commentary:


..... the “science” was so captured that health agencies literally changed the definition of herd immunity to pretend that natural immunity was not a contributor despite overwhelming data not only that it was (as it always has been) but that it was far more effective than vaccines. the failure of vaccines to stop spread has been total. they almost certainly made it worse. it’s not at all clear they even help with severity. it does not look that way in the societal data and the studies are so riddled with methodological slanting to shift outcomes that their output is literal bayseian datacrime.

and yet every regulator, health agency, and government is signing off (though a few are waking up).

regulatory capture breaks cost benefit analysis.

and it is the inevitable outcome of technocracy which is, in turn, the inevitable and deeply corrupt outcome of government finding science.



Track events and medical consensus about COVID-19 from February 2020 to the present and you’ll see the fingerprints of a power grab by public health that is breathtaking in scope and unprecedented in its damage to the social fabric. On issue after issue, “scientific fact” on COVID-19 vaccines and treatments has been dictated primarily in the form of Fauci’s opinion, White House COVID-19 task force pronouncements, “studies” that have included non-peer-reviewed press releases, forward-looking statements from vaccine manufacturers, non-peer-reviewed preprints, fraudulent, peer-reviewed studies tanking early, effective, inexpensive treatments. Each of these low-quality sources of evidence has influenced or in some cases determined FDA authorizations and approvals. Under Fauci and Collins, HHS “science” has devolved into a search for a study or paper that confirms a desired, pre-determined policy position against which evidence is accumulating.

I’ve worked endlessly to explain how this constructivist, confirmationist approach to science is not science in hopes that a sufficient percentage of the population would learn to be able to learn this necessary demarcation between science and science-like activities.

It’s not as though the evidence countering the official narrative. When such evidence is presented. Over the past decade, healthcare workers and scientists by people in influential positions such as medical boards and public health committees have demonstrated a willingness to ignore and dismiss, out-of-hand, evidence in the form of studies that support positions other than the official policy position. They also ignore valid critiques of the evidence that supports the official policy position.

.........

Regulatory capture of the US federal government is nearly 100% complete: where government regulatory agencies begin and Pharmaceutical companies end has become utterly blurred. Similarly, public health take-over of medical practice is nearly 100% complete. Since the Pharma profit agenda rules over public health, that means Pharma rules medicine.



So, while many of us have been highlighting the problem for a long time (and called peddlers of misinformation for doing so), the main stream media is finally noticing that there may have been problems with PCR testing - especially of asymptomatic people - all along.  

For the record, here are just a few of the many articles we have written highlighting the problems with PCR testing and why it should never have been used routinely on people with no symptoms.


The more discredited masks get, the more they lie about them

One of the most indisputable results of COVID-19 has been the thorough destruction of trust in the “so-called” experts and politicians.

Not that politicians have ever deserved or received an excessive amount of trust, but whatever shreds remained have been completely demolished by their disgraceful conduct and outright falsehoods during the pandemic.

Politicians like Anthony Cuomo, Gavin Newsom, Gretchen Whitmer, Boris Johnson and Anthony Fauci have repeatedly spread purposeful misinformation in order to ensure compliance with their mandates and requirements.



In a rational world the scientific and medical establishment would be long past any pro-mRNA propaganda. The jabs have failed. They were a (semi-)noble experiment, but they’ve failed. The proof fills hospitals and morgues from Tel Aviv to Edinburgh.

Instead researchers would be trying desperately to answer the questions about what may happen next:

1. Will original antigenic sin run deeper with vaccine-generated immunity than natural immunity? .... 

3. Why did non-Covid deaths increase so much last fall in Europe and the United States ...

5. What about the incidence of auto-immune disorders? Is there any evidence of long-term immune system dysfunction following jabs? ...


I am not convinced of the headline's use of word "best".... maybe "better"... not yet sure of long-term implications of getting sick from omicron... but I would rather risk that than the adverse effects of an mRNA "vax":

Back to reality: We have found (or rather, seen confirmed) in the last 2 weeks or so that:

1/ Masks don’t work. The CDC admitted that the cloth masks they recommended for 2 years have no effect whatsoever. But along their own lines of “evidence”, neither do surgical masks, which have holes 1000x bigger than a virus particle. N95 masks could work to some extent, but only if they’re fitted perfectly, by a professional, every time they’re worn.

Maybe the fact that the US government, and CDC and FDA, waited 2 years in promoting them tells you the whole story. And yes, P100 masks might work to some extent, but at that point we might as well go for full-blown gas-masks. In short, face masks “for Covid” have been as entirely useless as they have been completely destructive, in the lives of all of us, but in particular our children.

But the masks still haven’t been as big a disaster as:

2/ Lockdowns don’t work. For 2 years running, all the media and their loyal followers have been citing the CDC, FDA and Johns Hopkins University. But now that Johns Hopkins releases a report that says lockdowns prevented only 0.2% of potential deaths, crickets are a very popular life form all of a sudden. What’s not to love? But yeah, we get it, good news doesn’t sell. In the same vein, an “imminent” Russian invasion of Ukraine, tanks in the streets of Kyiv, gets a lot more clickbait than “nah, all quiet on the eastern front”.

But the lockdowns haven’t been as big a disaster as (we’re working up to a climax here):

3/ The vaccines don’t work.

3.1/ The vaccines were never needed.

The way to create demand for them was to prohibit all other substances that could have saved millions of lives in prophylaxis or early treatment. As I’ve said repeatedly, I think vitamin D could have prevented 50% of all infections and deaths, zinc could have taken care of the next 25%, and for the remaining quarter an entire scala of repurposed drugs, ivermectin, HCQ, fluvoxamine, melatonin, aspirin etc. would have been enough.

You don’t have to aim for zero. Bring the numbers down by 50-75-90%, and any reason to lock down or wear masks is gone. Pfizer needed to ban all these substances, and ban the possible news coverage of their potential, to get an EUA for its vaccine. And that’s why they were all swept under the carpet. Thing is, there are millions of dead bodies under that carpet, too.

But not only were they never needed:

3.2/ The vaccines don’t work.

To be honest: what we know in early February 2022 is that yes, they do seem to “work” for a few months, we’re not exactly sure how or how long. That should never be a question about a vaccine, however, and if it is, call it something else. Moreover, as far as they “work”, they do that by -trying to- take over control from your immune system, which you cannot survive without. Your best option today is to have an immune system strong enough to fight off the vaccine, which is as insane as it sounds. A booster 3rd or 4th or 12th shot will work for even less time, and in the meantime you run the risk of spike proteins lingering and gathering in all of your organs, including your heart and brain. For the rest of your life.

Because:

3.3/ The vaccines cause enormous damage.

The main issue about mRNA vaccines is not even the scores of vaxxed young athletes dropping dead, or the elevated numbers of 10-15 year olds who have myocarditis, devastating as they are; it’s the long-term consequences, never tested for. I’ve been reading a lot about mRNA and cancer recently. Because I see it pop up all over.

This will not affect everyone. Some of us have robust immune systems. But those that do not, due to age, obesity, you name it, will see the negative effects of spike proteins and other vaccine “by-products”. Not all in the same way, and not all to the same degree. And not all at the same time either. But you’re still all unleashing (cyto-) toxic elements into your body, your bloodstream, your organs.

You’re unleashing more of them with each next shot, or booster, into a body whose immune system has ever less defense against the invading toxic elements. Because your immune system may have “learned” to defend itself against these elements, but then the jabs add ever more of them, and the original antigenic sin kicks in for real. Until the immune system is overwhelmed and gives up.

... Whereas, if you catch Omicron, and many “Experts” now state that we will all catch it at some point (or more than once), the amount of toxic elements entering your body is manageable. Sure, you may need to boost your immune system, lose weight, change your diet, but how could that ever be a bad thing?

Still, if you combine vitamin D with zinc and perhaps IVM, your chances look much better than with 3-4-5-6 boosters. But, you know, if that’s what you want, go for it. Ditto for face masks, and lockdowns, etc. But with what we know today, there is no reason why anyone should dictate any of these things to you. You’re not any safer because of them.

... Omicron is a one-off that appears to protect you from all -or most- previous and future Covid variants. The vaccines are geared towards one older variant only, which hardly exists anymore. I won’t advice anyone to get Omicron, but if given the choice between Omicron and Comirnaty, is the choice really that clear?


**** el gato malo: boosters have failed

there is an intense program to make it appear as though covid vaccine boosters are working. and yet everywhere they are in widespread use, societal and individual outcomes do not seem to have improved. it’s legitimately difficult to find a seasonally adjusted counter example. mostly, they correlate to more covid.

people got boosted, then they got sick. they tried to mask this with bayseian manipulations around the definition of “vaccinated” that pushed the 2 week vaccine driven window of immunosuppression into the prior cohort. this is data handling so misleading that it can make a pure immunosuppressant with no anti covid activity look like a high VE vaccine. and we’ve seen it quantified. (this same data was rapidly hidden after they realized what they had admitted. this alone is a deeply chilling outcome.)

but then far too many people who got boosted got covid. everyone knew a bunch of them. it could not possibly be hidden.
so the story pivoted to “this would have been much more serious had i not been vaccinated! the vaccines worked!”

this is a seductive story to tell yourself, but this too is falling apart and looking more and more like wishful thinking and self-justifying confirmation bias. 

..... but more and more medical professionals are cottoning on, at least in the places where they are allowed to…

... many governments are waking up. ... the more honest countries are moving away from the counterproductive calamity that has been covid response.

increasingly, the world is over this over-reaction. lockdowns, masking, quarantine, school closures, and vast vaccine programs have bought nothing but economic ruin, societal damage, and vaccine escape and OAS/hoskins effect variants.

many saw this coming. because that’s what leaky vaccines do. always. even if they start out working, they will rapidly select for this outcome. it’s as inevitable as the procession of seasons.

that’s WHY we don’t use them, much less mandate them.

... more worrying, all cause deaths are up, not down in many highly vaxxed places (2021 vs 2020) and this issue flips right when the vaccination campaigns began. ... this may well mean we mistook poison for panacea. 

... look, we all were hoping these vaccines would work to stop spread or would at least mitigate severity. no one wanted the vaccines to fail. but it was a dubious and dodgy enterprise from the beginning using a set of modalities (mRNA, adenovirus) known to be deeply problematic. we tried to do in 3-6 months what ought to take 5-10 years.

the reason people trust most vaccines is that they are incredibly safe as well as being effective in actually providing sterilizing immunity that prevents infection. this trust was abused by claiming “you trust vaccines. this is a vaccine. so trust it!” and proclaiming any who would not “anti-vaxxers.”

this is akin to branding any who will not take an experimental new kind of fentanyl to cure a sore throat as “anti medicine” and excoriating them as bad parents for not wanting it forced upon their children.

i mean, really guys?

this has not been a crusade against “science deniers” it has been a systematic campaign against scientific discernment, nuance, cost-benefit analysis, and the literal idea of knowing when you have enough data to actually make good decisions.

and ideas like “natural immunity” and treatment, especially early treatment were all cast aside and even vilified.

i have never seen anything like it.

this was not “warp speed” is was “warped science” ...





..... It is obvious that very few of the general public have so far realised the scale of the Covid deceptions inflicted on them by their governments. Hopefully this paper will help more people to understand what has really been going on. 

I understand how peer-pressure to conform makes it doubly-difficult for most people to believe that their own government and its agencies could be so conspiratorial and malevolent as to scare and mislead the public as they have done over the politically-engineered Coronavirus pandemic with such callous indifference to the unwarranted massive collateral damage caused.  

Even so, I have been puzzled as to why so few of the public have seen through the establishment’s Covid machinations. 

..... I have belatedly realised that the simple and understandable reason why so few people have “joined all the dots” to see the establishment’s hidden agenda is that the mainstream media (MSM), which most of the public mistakenly believes to be trustworthy, has deliberately starved the public of counter-narrative facts which are only available in a few non-mainstream news outlets which relatively few people support.  

... Follow the money! The bought and paid for MSM has not only compliantly promulgated the Covid establishment’s lies but has also suppressed all facts and stories which go against the establishment narrative - lying by omission. 



To red pill a friend is very difficult to impossible

Before I show you the email I received, here’s a little background about red pilling people (i.e., to snap people out of their mass formation psychosis that the vaccines are safe and effective).

I’ve talked to psychologists that tell me that to “red pill” someone can take days to weeks of extensive work and in many cases, no matter what you do, you will fail.



Tweets & Quotes of the Week:

Aponte: That recent working class anti-vaccine mandate protests have been met with either silence or derision from the Left speaks volumes about their allegiances. 

Tessa: As a person with decent training in logical thinking, I am getting a little frustrated over the situation where people look at various insightful analysis and call it a “crazy conspiracy theory.”

Liberal staffer, re JT: “He’s not dealing well with it – he’s definitely panicked and bruised,” the source said. “I can’t say much more, but it’s not looking good. We’ve never seen him this frustrated or worried about something…yeah, it certainly feels like he’s a deer in the headlights right now.”

unswerve: We’ll all be better off if #Trudeau continues to self-destruct and takes down his little corrupt, sadistic group of “global leaders” at The WEF with him



CO-VIDs of the Week:

watch as simple, determined unity exposes the big lie and the character of the liars

there is a point where the rhetoric in a situation gets so out of step with the reality that it can only be called derangement.

trudeau has called these people racists, misogynists, white supremacists, and science deniers. he claims they are coming from a place of hate and do not represent canada.

the problem with speaking words like these in the days of endlessly accessible video is that, well, someone might record them and play them over video of what is really going on.

and then folks might share it on the internet for everyone to see.

the effect is absolutely devastating.

watch this video. no fascist big lie can stand against this. this is beautiful.


**** Beautifully spoken and articulate. I highly recommend you listen to the voice of the ethical and rational. Who is this man? (2:20)


****** Russel Brand: This Is Impossible To Ignore


Awaken with JP: The Canadian Truckers CAN'T Be Stopped!




Anecdotal Fare:

Lockdowns, Life, and Death.



a letter from an NHS Clinical Scientist of some 25 years – currently employed at an NHS University Hospital Trust but who has just resigned – to Health Secretary Sajid Javid to tell him why she is quitting over the complicity of the health service in the national scandal that is the Covid vaccine rollout.

... Like thousands of other healthcare workers, I have had misgivings about these vaccines from the outset, on both ethical and safety grounds.

Although the ethical issue has been sidelined by the current pressing concerns on the safety profile of these vaccines ..

... A core principle in healthcare is to ensure that patients are given free access to all information, to enable them to make a proper and informed choice about any treatment. As a scientist, I have been and still am gravely concerned about the Government and NHS misrepresentation of these vaccines as ‘safe and effective’ – a mantra still promoted by our Government and media, despite the overwhelming evidence demonstrating otherwise

.. I have been appalled by the NHS willingness to trample over the concept of personalised medicine in the promotion of products still in phase three trials. There has been no stratified analysis of the balance of risks and benefits. No scientific reference to real data from the pandemic statistics nor to those of the adverse effects – deaths and life-limiting injuries – reported globally. No mention of the unavailability of medium and long term safety data, which may not be relevant for the elderly but it certainly is for the young. No information about alternative treatments.

This is not the NHS I joined and embraced. Primum non nocere: first, do no harm.

... Incidentally, NHS contracts do not specify any requirement of taking part in human experimentation. In any case, human experimentation should be carried out under the safeguards of the Nuremberg Code, which has been sadly violated in all its points during the vaccination campaign.

It is not clear how the vaccination mandate could be justified on rational or medical basis.

... In any case, the initial hope that they could be effective against infection and transmission has been quashed by the evidence of  ‘breakthrough’ cases worldwide. Furthermore, numerous studies have demonstrated an equivalent viral load in vaccinated and in vaccine-free people once infected by the virus. This can also be found in the Government’s own data

...  this experimentation on healthy young people needs to be halted immediately and an investigation conducted. Children are our future: Primum non nocere.


Another courageous GP blows the whistle on COVID. Dr Dave Cartland MBChB GP BMedSci (Hons)

.... I took my first Pfizer jab on 13/1/21 in complete good faith of the science and public health underpinning its roll out, trusting as all patients do the integrity and reassurance of the government and its scientific advisors.
....................
.............
........

Why were people vaccinated for a disease and go on to die in a ratio of 4:1 from the disease they were trebly protected from!! Alarm bells ringing… again.

At this time, I committed time to fully researching whether the risks of a jab were proportionate to the risk of the disease. Networking with other medical professionals constrained by fear to not report observations or whistle blow, the sharing of papers, research data and individuals’ clinical concerns and anecdotal observations were forming a clear pattern and hypothesis.

Study after study, data set after data set seemed to come to the conclusion that the vaccinated group seemed to be at higher risks of catching covid despite full vaccination status and in the above data higher admission rates and death…

The decision was becoming clearer as to whether to take the jab #3. At this point I concluded the Jab wasn’t in any way reducing my chances of catching or spreading the virus in some cases increasing their risk (Will avoid commenting on Antibody dependent enhancement- ADE in this article here but coherent with this principle).

............. Alongside phenomena discussed above, I was starting to see flickers of what I am calling ‘signals of harm’. At this time, I felt slightly isolated professionally as no one would seemingly enter deep debate on the subject, offer alternative explanations for data, evidence of safety, all at the same time as hearing from the government that the vaccine was ‘absolutely safe’

..... None of this was science as I know it!

........ Initially the flicker of harm signal subsequently became a flame and most recently a fire!

My individual experience of seeing very odd post-vaccination reactions came ironically around the time of my second jab.

...... Aside from this, more worrying observations from different arenas. As an avid football and sports fan, reports of footballers dropping like flies some live on TV and numerous tennis stars falling ill during games (whether vaccinated or not reports are sketchy), pilots dying in never-before-seen numbers, USA just reported an increase in life insurance claims by up to 40% in last 3 months. All-cause mortality in certain periods of time higher than ever before, funeral directors and doctors going public on unprecedented young folks ‘dropping dead’ and post-mortems of VTE causation, increased numbers of referrals for uterine cancer, the list goes on.

And not a word from the main stream media.

To claim anything negative is shutdown, Orwellian 1984 style. Nowhere on MSM is this potential for causality even whispered.

..... By now it has become clear, one mantra, one narrative: After locking us down, then paying for half of our meals, then discussing herd immunity followed by the rule of 5/2 metres/re-lockdown (nothing like consistency) they eventually found consensus.

Vaccine, Vaccine, Vaccine.

No discussion of potential harm, suppressed alternative treatments with some solid medical grounding e.g., Zinc/ivermectin/Vitamin D data with no apparent push to offer general advice on this as ‘COVID prophylaxis’ if you like.

To debate and seek evidence-based medicine or to offer alternative viewpoint or to even speak freely, a right that was fought hard for seem to have succumbed to censorship.

.... Valid consent involves speaking to a patient about the full benefit of a treatment but also to be open and honest about the risk, to enable to allow concordance.

... For consent to be valid it must be fully informed.

..... Even on the conveyor belt of mass vaccination clinics this is just not good enough. People were presenting in good faith, for the greater good of humanity, accepting a treatment to the lay person which was unknowingly novel but ‘needs must’. They are completely unaware that in that small amount of fluid injected, lies mRNA material that encodes a virus’s genetic message in a variety of different transport media e.g liposome coat and is a novel and never before rolled out outside of clinical trial.

Neither were they aware that it is being used under an emergency use authorisation (EUA) like a ‘needs must’ legal waiver, neither do they know that the major producers of the vaccine have, before they ever stepped foot in the lab, took indemnity from prosecution for all current and future harm under the EUA running for many decades yet to come.

I could go on.

You may have noted, I haven’t in this article referred to the mRNA ‘vaccine’ as such, as prior to this pandemic mRNA as mentioned above had never been passed to being safe or effective for human use.

Play this back for a second… we are giving you a jab of fluid, a novel treatment, that will be absorbed into your human cell which, cutting out the detail of the biology, gets expressed by your human cell, using human cell machinery to transcribe that code into a protein which is how genes are expressed. A protein that is viral in origin and design. Not only that but a cytotoxic spike protein (as opposed to other areas of viral capsid) that will induce an immune response in a way never used before.

Previously vaccines were killed whole virus particles, live but attenuated, fragments of protein or their toxoid with all their retrospective relative safety data, in favour of an experiment.

I fully expect the same number of sleeves would not have been rolled up in knowledge of the above.

...... It is human nature to not want to admit you are wrong. It is human nature to not get too proactively involved in something that doesn’t directly involve you. It is human nature to trust the government and scientists that stand before us.

But science changes, this pandemic changes. As scientists, medics and the general public, we hope, as best we can, to keep updated. But to censor, close down, refuse debate or critically appraise the data around evolving harm benefit profiling it’s just not science, it’s just not ethics or good medical practice

... when do we accept that mandate, aside from unethical, is tantamount to blackmail in view of this?!


McDonald had just cracked wise that "Jesus loves me most" because she's "fully vaxxed" AND boosted, when she keeled over (and the crowd thought it was meant for laughs)



Pushback Fare:


....... Last night I learned my new neighbours are not a monstrous faceless occupying mob. They are our moral conscience reminding us – with every blow of their horns – what we should have never forgotten: We are not a country that makes an untouchable class out of our citizens.



.... and this debate, going on in the streets of ottawa and spreading like fire as people remember the rightful order of government in service of the rights and freedom of the people, is about basic human liberty, a liberty you sought to take away.

these are not oppressors. these are peaceful people who would be citizens and not serfs; masses, no longer huddled, yearning to breathe free.

“well why did you have to do this? why disrupt life? why clog the city with trucks?”

well, what else do you leave us? we tried talking to you. we showed you data and precept and ethical argument.

we have been asking for freedom for 2 years. did you listen?

no. you vilified and doubled and tripled down. you lied and you took more. you ostracized and othered and segregated. you sought to predicate the basic rights to self determination, societal participation, and bodily integrity upon our submission to your increasingly invasive diktat.

and it was never going to end unless we ended it.

you sought to coerce and to cow and to accuse us of your own turpitude.

you called us villains while acting villainously.

you do not get to do that and then wonder why we lost faith in speaking to you.

it was you who broke faith with us, not we with you.

oh, are we inconveniencing you?

well, you certainly did not mind doing the same to us. you closed our businesses, took away our lives, took our kids out of school, and limited our travel. you forced our adherence to pseudoscientific and outright superstitious practice and told us where we could and could not go.

you created a literal bio-apartheid culture and called it “inclusion.”

i do not recall being asked for permission or agreement.

this has been a week and you cannot bear it?

well what about what you inflicted for years?

.... you are the tyrants. you simply do not know this about yourselves.

you live in denial.



Being here in Ottawa, on the ground, experiencing this extraordinary moment in our history is one of the most moving experiences of my life. After two years during which we have been trapped in divisiveness and isolation, the truckers have burst the dam and the healing process has begun. On the doorstep of our Parliament, people from every part of this country are coming together to support the truckers convoy, laughing together, crying together, sharing food, dancing, telling our stories about what we have been through over these past two years as the world went mad around us, and, most of all, we are celebrating freedom together.

...

Despite the extraordinary diversity of the crowds here in Ottawa, if there is one thing that we all share as we gather on the streets with our truckers, it is the giant smiles on our maskless faces. Two years of pent up emotions boiling out; words cannot describe it. Freedom is contagious.

The government is in full meltdown mode as they slowly lose control. They tried to manipulate the situation to create as much disruption as possible in the city to fuel resentment against the truckers. They closed stores and bridges, warned everyone to stay away "for our safety",  and told endless lies about racism and vandalism that simply are not true (by now you’ve probably already seen all those things debunked on social media). 

But those dirty tricks are now backfiring on the government. Everyone who comes in contact with the rally can see plainly that nothing the government says about the truckers and their supporters is true (hence the essay I shared with you at the beginning of this post).



And you are also forgiven if much of what you might know about the Canadian truckers is just plain wrong. It reflects what corporate news media permit to see the light of day. Numerous outlets are worse than bad, they are mendacious. Associated Press, New York Times, Bloomberg. Ugh. Their reportage is awful. And on purpose, I suspect. 

.... And what of the limousine liberals who run Canada? The salon socialists? The apoplectic progressives, basking in the comforts of power? Ha! It was revolutionary. Except not a revolution of their making, let alone favoring their ambitious desires, limited understanding and minimal self-awareness. 

... There’s a macabre humor in all of this. Canada’s ruling elite just don’t know what the hell to do when actual workers of the world unite and literally drive towards the seat of power. 

The first instinct of most political cadre in Canada is to ignore protesters, certainly ones with whom they disagree. Maybe the bums will go away. 

That is, don’t even give the truckers the courtesy of a minute on the evening news broadcast by state media, like that insipid CBC network. Per the standard propaganda manual, keep as many people in the dark as possible. 

The media shadow ban worked for a few days until the rolling revolution became so big that it was impossible to ignore. That’s what 45 miles of protesting people and trucks will do, eh?

Then belittle them, of course. Bring out the snark, up to and including pure snot. That escalatory step is characteristic of Deep States everywhere. Stare down your long nose and sniffily, gratuitously insult people who have a serious beef towards the misgovernance of their nation. 

And really, just who do those truckers think they are? Because the political class went to college, eh? 

... It’s typically gutless, if not emblematic of our era. Trudeau is a legacy politician, holding his job via a hereditary entitlement a la Trudeau Pere. 



Writing about Kazakhstan a short while ago, I remarked on the hypocrisy of many who seemed very happy to support what I disparagingly called “the mob” when it’s rampaging through the streets of countries they don’t like but get mega upset when it happens at home. Masses demonstrating on the street and occupying squares and buildings are “democracy” when they happen elsewhere but “anti-democratic” when they happen at home. 



COVID Conspiracy Fare:

New Zealand Scientists Find Nanotech In Pfizer COVID Shots

The long story goes like this:  I am a physician in good standing, having a background in mathematics and physics from university, then specialized beyond internal medicine after residency. I’ve had extensive phase contrast microscopy experience.

People who were injured by the Pfizer jab started showing up in my practice. At this time in 2021, I didn’t have a microscope.   Several doctors had come forward in other countries to report strange observations. Dr. Zandre Botha from South Africa showed the uniform strange round circles. La Quinta Columna showed what appeared to be microchips and other formations. ...

........ It is not for me to make assumptions on what these elements are, but I don’t think this is a normal finding in old style non-SARS-CoV-2 vaccines. The organisation that occurred does not appear to be simply organic, or debris, or artefact, and it is not simply dehydration of the slide.

It is highly self-organised and appears to be part of the design of the liquid.   For so many months I had pondered why this infection was so severe and important, that the vaccine has to be given to every human on the planet several times—even if one has recovered from Covid.

This is unprecedented in vaccine history.   Anyone with a dark field microscope can do this same thing.   Why aren’t more people looking at the vaccine under a microscope? Why hasn’t the public been informed of the full ingredients of the only FDA approved vaccine for Covid?

..... I have nothing else to say. The pictures speak for themselves.

This research should be continued by other laboratories.



The past two years have been a checklist for the worst impulses of government and public sentiment. COVID allowed for supposedly temporary measures to morph into two years of “emergency” restrictions. But what if COVID was only the opening act, and another proclaimed crisis is the main event? Implementing significant but partial restrictions, one by one, in the name of the common good can allow for encompassing government control that results in relatively little backlash. Fear over climate change could lead to long-term soft lockdowns, given the precedent of immense growth of government power and significant support for sweeping state actions. 

This isn’t a right-wing fever dream. Calls for harsh government measures in the name of saving the environment are already in the parlance of influential organizations and figures. ...



Back to Non-Pandemic Fare:

GeoPolitical Fare:

Ritter: A war with Russia would be unlike anything the US and NATO have ever experienced



Orwellian Fare:


... Now, the Regime and its comrades target Joe Rogan, an inquisitive comedian with a podcast. He is accused of spreading “misinformation” by those that illegally spy on their citizens and lies without remorse. In reality, this isn’t about misinformation. It’s that Rogan’s crimes are those of words and thought. They prosecute on behalf of the god they have created, searching to eradicate those guilty of the sin of blasphemy. The Taliban would be proud.

We can be certain that the Regime is not concerned with the truth. Have you seen them struggle to explain the “evidence” that Russia was planning a false-flag in Ukraine to justify an invasion?

Or, consider how the COVID-19 misinformation originated from the U.S. government and its bureaucratic arms.




Other Quotes of the Week:

Kunstler: The Left’s motto: the beatings will continue until morale improves!
.... The cognitive dissonance must be unbearable, like a kind of 5G-induced tinnitus that afflicts an entire population, making them want to bang their heads against the nearest wall.

Doctorow: One of the consequences of the near hysteria prevailing in the United States media and political class over a supposedly impending Russian invasion of Ukraine is that the readership of my website has increased many times over in the past several weeks as a confused public seeks expert opinions from those outside the hopelessly propagandistic, ideologically driven mainstream. 

Garcia: Long gone are the good old days when deriding corporate news as "infotainment" was all the rage. It seems as though all we have left is the rage, manufactured for our ignotainment by those nefarious twin demons which the liberal elite have dubbed  Misinformation and Disinformation, and what the reactionary "populist" Trump and his plutocratic pals call Fake News.

What UN Secretary General Antonio Guterres has called “an epidemic of coup d’états” continues in Africa. Burkina Faso, where the military deposed a democratically elected president two weeks ago, is the fifth African country to see a military takeover within the last 18 months, following Mali, Chad, Guinea, and Sudan. 




Long Reads / Big Thoughts:

Boomers, Meet the Based

It’s hard to know whether this multi-pronged media campaign by the Left is a carefully planned psy-ops strategy, or just the net effect of simultaneously asserting contradictory arguments depending on whatever seems expedient. Either way, a generation gap on the right is being exacerbated, in part because each side is reacting to the Blue regime’s propaganda.

The older generation grew up in an America where, on the surface, institutions were trustworthy, or at the very least, not actively at war with the people. That façade crumbled for those who grew up after 9/11....
....
Do you hate America and want it to fail?  A lot of younger right-wingers will say yes… in a certain sense, they do. And they have reasons for saying that. What young man with any sense wants to die for the Joe Biden regime in the Ukraine? Who wants to pay taxes so Kamala Harris can shower money on illegal immigrants and left-wing shock troops? That’s a hard message to hear for anyone who lived through the 1960s and the Cold War. For a long time, to be on the right—to defend liberty and morality and decency—meant to be a patriot and to love America. And it still does. But the enemies of freedom and decency who hate America are no longer godless communists abroad, they are the godless leftists at home who are currently in power. If America means transgender rights and suffocating biomedical security measures, then those who love freedom will come to hate America—or, to be more specific, the current regime that has taken control of what used to be America. Young people on the Right don’t hate liberty and morality and decency; they despise woke ideology. The older idea of “America” that the Boomers love is gone, as far as the younger generation is concerned. Most Boomers will never share this antipathy, but they must learn to distinguish between America the nation and America the state. The American state—as the COVID lockdowns, Russiagate hoax, and the political prosecution of the January 6 protestors show—is at war with the American people.



The difficulty I have is that much of the science underpinning the traditionalist response is outdated. It is a busted meme. Where homosexuality is concerned, anti-gay philosophy somehow missed three decades of advances in evolutionary biology. neuroscience, genetics, and phylogeny. 

By way of example is this from a peer-reviewed journal article in 2009: 
During the intrauterine period the fetal brain develops in the male direction through a direct action of testosterone on the developing nerve cells, or in the female direction through the absence of this hormone surge. In this way, our gender identity (the conviction of belonging to the male or female gender) and sexual orientation are programmed into our brain structures when we are still in the womb. However, since sexual differentiation of the genitals takes place in the first two months of pregnancy and sexual differentiation of the brain starts in the second half of pregnancy, these two processes can be influenced independently, which may result in transsexuality. This also means that in the event of ambiguous sex at birth, the degree of masculinization of the genitals may not reflect the degree of masculinization of the brain.
It seems from what I can find that about 12% of the hormone assignments in the third trimester are not correctly aligned with the genitalia assignments of the first trimester.

.....

Like many around the world they look at the US as a country gone nearly crazy. It is a nation that recently elected, and may soon re-elect, a pathological narcissist and head of a multigenerational crime family as its president. Half of its principal legislative body say they do not believe in climate change. A significant fraction of the population believe that angels and/or aliens are living among us and are here to save the world, or at least the US, from whatever kind of jam we have created. Maybe they’re here to save us from a viral plague of LGBTQ.

What I see in the United States, being outside now and looking in, is not an incipient civil war, but the slow, reluctant death of old memes — racism, homophobia, authoritarianism, self-righteousness, exceptionalism. This is not to say that temes that are lining up to replace the old order — AI, AR, crypto, Meta, identity verification — are any better. They bring their own problems. The Great Pause has given us a chance to think about those things. While some people are determined to keep the old ways going — running one way on the hamster wheel — others are racing in the opposite direction, which causes the wheel to stall.




Pics of the Week:










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